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Government expenditure & revenue Scotland 2024-25

Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS) is an Accredited Official Statistics publication. It estimates the revenue raised in Scotland and the cost of public services provided for Scotland.


4 Devolved Revenue and Expenditure

Introduction

This chapter provides information on the amount of public sector revenue and expenditure currently devolved to Scotland as well as that to be devolved under the Scotland Act 2016.

Devolved Revenue

The table below sets out revenue raised in Scotland from taxes currently devolved to the Scottish Parliament. Total devolved tax revenue in 2024-25 is estimated at £26.2 billion.

Table 4.1: Currently devolved taxes (£ million)
Tax Type 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Council tax 2,742 2,925 2,994
Non-domestic rates 2,792 3,033 3,263
Land and buildings transaction tax (devolved from 2015-16) 838 777 923
Scottish landfill tax (devolved from 2015-16) 110 69 53
Non-savings and non-dividend income tax liabilities (devolved from 2016-17)1 15,169 17,093 18,992
Total devolved taxes 21,651 23,897 26,225

1 This table shows Scottish Rate of Income Tax liabilities rather than receipts in a given year. They are therefore on a different basis to the estimates of total Scottish income tax receipts in Table 1.1. The figure for 2024-25 is the SFC forecast from May 2025.

Further devolution of taxes is due to continue, with Air Passenger Duty and Aggregates Levy due to be devolved following the Scotland Act 2016. As well as further tax devolution, the Scotland Act 2016 allows for the first 10p of the standard rate of VAT receipts and the first 2.5p of the reduced rate of VAT receipts in Scotland to be assigned to the Scottish Government, although policy decisions will remain reserved. The transition period for VAT assignment began on 1 April 2019.

As these taxes are not yet devolved there is no outturn data associated with them, and the table below shows the estimated historical revenues from these taxes.

Table 4.2: Revenue to be devolved under Scotland Act 2016 ( £ million)
Revenue 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Air passenger duty (date of devolution to be decided) 252 291 294
Aggregates levy (date of devolution to be decided) 59 60 60
VAT assignment (in transition from 2019-20) 7,046 7,432 7,617

Note: Assigned VAT receipts are 50% of total receipts in all years. Whilst this is appropriate when the standard rate of VAT is 20%, VAT on the hospitality and other industries was reduced to 5% in July 2020, and then increased to 12.5% in October 2021. This is not reflected in the estimates above.

Devolved Social Security

The table below shows the expenditure in Scotland from social security benefits devolved to the Scottish Parliament prior to implementation of Scotland Act 2016.

Table 4.3: Social security devolved prior to Scotland Act 2016 (£ million)
Social Security 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Council tax reduction 365 386 390
Scottish welfare fund 56 50 47
Discretionary housing payments 80 81 89
Total 501 517 526

As social security benefits are devolved to the Scottish Government, they often initially continue to be administered by the Department for Work and Pensions under an Agency Agreement. The table below shows the latest available figures for social security spending which is due to be devolved to the Scottish Government under the Scotland Act 2016.

Table 4.4: Devolved social security under Scotland Act 2016 ( £ million)
Social Security 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Best Start Grant (previously Sure Start Maternity Grant) 20 20 22
Best Start Foods 13 14 14
Funeral Support Payment (previously Funeral Payment) 10 13 12
Scottish Child Payment 213 429 454
Carer's Allowance Supplement 44 48 54
Child Winter Heating Payment 6 8 10
Winter Heating Payment (previously Cold Weather Payments) 20 23 29
Child Disability Payment 215 425 514
Adult Disability Payment 2,027 2,632 3,131
Scottish Adult Disability Living Allowance 524 445 430
Job Start Payment 0 0 0
Young Carer's Grant 1 1 2
Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit 78 81 82
Severe Disablement Allowance 6 6 5
Attendance Allowance - Department and Work and Pensions under an Agency Agreement 554 659 762
Carer's Allowance - Department and Work and Pensions under an Agency Agreement 314 358 391
Winter Fuel Payment - Yet to be devolved 173 176 26
Total expenditure on social security to be devolved 4,217 5,339 5,938

Further information on the planned devolution of taxes and social security to the Scottish Government is available in the fiscal framework agreement between the Scottish and UK Governments.[28] Further information on the funding received by the Scottish Government is set out in the Fiscal Framework Outturn Report.[29]

Summary of current and proposed devolved powers

The table below shows estimates of devolved receipts and expenditure before and after the implementation of the Scotland Acts 2012 and 2016.

Table 4.5: Fiscal powers before and after Scotland Act 2016, 2024-25 (£ million)
Statistic Before Scotland Acts 2012 and 2016 After Scotland Acts 2012 and 2016
Non-saving non-dividend income tax liabilities - 18,992
Council tax 2,994 2,994
Non-domestic rates 3,263 3,263
Land and buildings transaction tax - 923
Scottish landfill tax (devolved from 2015-16) - 53
Air passenger duty (date to be decided) - 294
Aggregates levy (date to be decided) - 60
Total devolved taxes 6,257 26,579
Devolved taxes as % of non-North Sea Scottish revenue 7% 30%
as % of revenue incl geographical share of North Sea revenue 7% 29%
Assigned VAT (in transition from 2019-20) - 7,617
Total devolved and assigned taxes 6,257 34,196
Devolved and assigned taxes as % of non-North Sea Scottish revenue 7% 39%
as % of taxes incl geographical share of North Sea revenue 7% 37%
Devolved expenditure including housing benefit1 (HB) 66,154 72,092
Devolved taxes as % of estimated devolved expenditure 9% 37%
Devolved and Assigned taxes as % of estimated devolved expenditure 9% 47%

1 In GERS and the CRA, housing benefit is included in Scottish local government spending, as they make the payments to recipients, although it is set centrally and funded by the Department for Work and Pensions. Depending on definitions adopted, it could either be excluded or included in devolved expenditure.

Contact

Email: economic.statistics@gov.scot

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