Coronavirus (COVID-19) Strategic Framework update February 2022: business and regulatory impact assessment

Footnotes

1 Business and Regulatory Impact Assessments (BRIA) toolkit - gov.scot (www.gov.scot).

2 This sector includes activities such as hotels and other accommodation providers, licenced and unlicensed restaurants, takeaway food providers, event catering, public houses and bars, and other food services.

3 This includes activities such as performing arts, operation of arts facilities, museum activities, library activities, gambling and betting activities, operation of historical sites and buildings, operation of sports facilities and activities of amusement parks

4 https://www.gov.scot/publications/monthly-gdp-october-2021/

5 GDP Monthly Estimate: November 2021 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

6 BICS weighted Scotland estimates: data to wave 49 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

7 https://www.scotsman.com/health/coronavirus/cancellations-began-to-arrive-within-minutes-hospitality-fury-at-postpone-christmas-parties-advice-3489729

8 https://www.gov.scot/collections/coronavirus-COVID-19-vaccination/

9 https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ssi/2021/349/resources

10 https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/working-paper/2021/did-the-COVID-19-local-lockdowns-reduce-business-activity-evidence-from-uk-smes.pdf?la=en&hash=E8E116D61061BB71B018643E983FD306D8553C80

11 This sector includes activities such as hotels and other accommodation providers, licenced and unlicensed restaurants, takeaway food providers, event catering, public houses and bars, and other food services.

12 This includes activities such as performing arts, operation of arts facilities, museum activities, library activities, gambling and betting activities, operation of historical sites and buildings, operation of sports facilities and activities of amusement parks

13 Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe | Nature Communications

14 SPI-B: Behavioural considerations for maintaining or reintroducing behavioural interventions and introducing new measures in autumn 2021, 14 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

15 SPI-B, SPI-M and EMG: Considerations for potential impact of Plan B measures, 13 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

16 SPI-B, SPI-M and EMG: Considerations for potential impact of Plan B measures, 13 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

17 SPI-B, SPI-M and EMG: Considerations for potential impact of Plan B measures, 13 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

18 SPI-B, SPI-M and EMG: Considerations for potential impact of Plan B measures, 13 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

19 Research and analysis overview: JUNIPER: Control options for mitigating a rapid rise in infection, 12 October 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

20 The effectiveness of face coverings to reduce transmission of COVID-19 in community settings. A rapid review Nov 2021

21 COVID-19 advice - High risk groups | WHO Western Pacific

22 Flexible working – lessons from the pandemic | CIPD

23 29. Events Industry defined here using the following SIC2007 codes: 5621 : Event catering activities, 9001 : Performing arts, 9002 : Support activities to performing arts, 9004 : Operation of arts facilities, 9311 : Operation of sports facilities, 9312 : Activities of sport clubs, 68202 : Letting and operating of conference and exhibition centres, 74209 : Other photographic activities (not including portrait and other specialist photography and film processing), 79909 : Other reservation service activities (not including activities of tourist guides), 82301 : Activities of exhibition and fair organizers, 82302 : Activities of conference organizers, 93199 : Other sports activities (not including activities of racehorse owners)

24 www.gov.scot/news/targeted-funds-for-culture-and-events/

25 Source: Business Register and Employment Survey (2020)

26 Vital Events Reference Table 2020: Report (nrscotland.gov.uk)

27 Vital Events Reference Table 2019

28 https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/news/2021/quarter-3-deaths-15-above-average

29 The 2018 Wedding Report, based on a survey of around 3000 couples based in the UK: https://bridebook.co.uk/article/theukweddingreport2018

30 Vital Events Reference Table 2020: Report (nrscotland.gov.uk) pg 6

31 Publication (nrscotland.gov.uk) pg 7

32 Vital Events Reference Tables 2018 | National Records of Scotland (nrscotland.gov.uk)

33 3062_COD_Cost of Dying Report_2022_V7 (sunlife.co.uk)

34 Id pg 11

36 Id pg 38

37 Inter-Departmental Business Register 2021 and Business Register and Employment Survey 2020

38 Annual Population Survey, Jan - Dec 2020 ONS. https://www.ons.gov.uk/searchdata?q=annual%20population%20survey

39 Business Register Employment Survey 2020. https://www.ons.gov.uk/surveys/informationforbusinesses/businesssurveys/businessregisterandemploymentsurvey

40 Ibid

41 GDP Monthly Estimate: October 2021 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) https://www.gov.scot/publications/monthly-gdp-october-2021/

42 BICS weighted Scotland estimates: data to wave 45 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) https://www.gov.scot/publications/bics-weighted-scotland-estimates-data-to-wave-45/

43 Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and Mitigating Measures, SAGE EMG June 2020 https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/892043/S0484_Transmission_of_SARS-CoV-2_and_Mitigating_Measures.pdf

44 Data on Registered Enterprises is sourced from the IDBR for 2021, while employment data is sourced from BRES and covers 2020.

45 Extract from the Non-Domestic Rates valuation roll, October 2021

46 As per previous work for Nightclub related BRIAs (e.g. p54-71: The Health Protection (Coronavirus) (Restrictions and Requirements) (Local Levels) (Scotland) Regulations 2020 (legislation.gov.uk) https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ssi/2020/344/resources Nightclub businesses are defined here as non-charity licensed clubs (within Standard Industrial Classification code 56.301). Nightclubs and sexual entertainment businesses in Scotland fall under this classification. The SIC code definition of nightclubs used here does not align perfectly with the definition of nightclubs used in certification regulations. These statistics therefore represent a best estimate.

47 Night Time Industries Association (2021), COVID-19 Status Certification: NTIA Scotland Briefing Paper

48 See Marriages and Civil Partnership - Time Series Data | National Records of Scotland (nrscotland.gov.uk) Table MT.04

49 See Marriages and Civil Partnership - Time Series Data | National Records of Scotland (nrscotland.gov.uk) Table MT.05