Scottish Fire and Rescue Service (SFRS) - wildfire: incident reporting system - data analyses

Figure 5.3 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from Level 3 Property Types for years 2009 to 2020 for a) all IRS wildfires and b) IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.4 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from LCS88 classes for years 2009 to 2020 for a) all IRS wildfires and b) IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.5 Monthly counts of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types for the 2009-2020 period for a) all IRS wildfires and b) IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.6 Monthly counts of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for the 2009-2020 period for a) all IRS wildfires and b) IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.7 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from Level 3 Property Types per recorded motive for years 2009 to 2020 for a) all IRS wildfires and b) wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.8 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from LCS88 classes per recorded motive for years 2009 to 2020 for a) all IRS wildfires and b) wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.9 Stacked proportions of IRS wildfire Broad Habitats (BH) classified from a) Level 3 Property Types and b) LCS88 classes per Damage Area (DA) group: 0-100 m²; 100-1,000 m² and >1,000 m².

Figure 5.10 Counts of a) IRS wildfires and b) wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² for the 8-fold Urban Rural (UR) classification system.

Figure 5.11 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types per Urban Rural (UR) 8-folds for a) all IRS wildfires and b) wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.12 Stacked proportions of Broad Habitats (BH) classified from LCS88 classes per Urban Rural (UR) 8-folds for a) all IRS wildfires and b) wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Figure 5.13 Dendrogram showing groupings from a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B. Numbers correspond to the ID column in Table 5.41.

Figure 5.14 Local Authorities mapped per cluster groups

Figure 5.15 Yearly stacked proportions of IRS wildfires from 2009 to 2020 per a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B groups.

Figure 5.16 Monthly stacked proportions of IRS wildfires for the 2009-2020 period per a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B groups.

Figure 5.17 Stacked proportions per Clusters A groups of IRS wildfire Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from a) Level 3 Property Types and b) LCS88 classes.

Figure 5.18 Stacked proportions per Clusters B groups of IRS wildfire Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from a) Level 3 Property Types and b) LCS88 classes.

Figure 5.19 Stacked proportions of recorded motive for IRS wildfires per a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B groups.

Figure 5.20 Stacked proportions of IRS wildfire recorded Damage Area (DA) group: None; 0-100 m²; 100-1,000 m² and >1,000 m² per a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B groups.

Figure 5.21 Stacked proportions of IRS wildfire 8-fold Urban Rural (UR) classification system per a) Clusters A and b) Clusters B groups.

Figure 6.2 Distribution of burnt area polygons mapped using calculated burnt area size. White lines indicate local authority boundaries.

Figure 6.3 Recorded IRS wildfire burnt area (in ha) vs calculated burnt area for corresponding burnt area polygons based on a) all wildfire incidents with available information (n=48) and b) wildfire incidents with burnt area recorded less than 500 ha (n=36). Blue line represents 1:1 relationship.

Figure 7.2 Counts of EFFIS burnt area polygons per a) studied countries; and b) month for all countries.

Figure 7.3 Monthly stacked counts of dominant cover fuel type groups of the EFFIS burnt polygons for the countries included in the analysis.

Figure 8.2 Predicted fire locations with probability of ignition greater than 0.6. Red dots represent the centroids of 250m grid cells.

Figure 8.3 Predicted fire locations (probability of ignition >0.6) in relation to burnt area polygons in a) the area around Loch Morar and b) area around Strathnaver, both in the Highland LA. Red dots represent the centroids of 250m grid cells.

Figure 8.4 Boxplots of values of nearest distance to roads, elevation, mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation for the areas predicted as positive ignitions (i.e., fire locations) and negative ignitions (i.e., no fire occurrence) using a probability threshold of 0.6.

Table 4.2 Classification of EUNIS habitat classes into Broad Habitats (BH) and Land Use (LUSE) classes.

Table 4.3 Classification of Land Cover Scotland (LCS88) classes into Broad Habitats (BH) and Land Use (LUSE) classes.

Table 4.4 Classification of Land Cover Map 2015 (LCM15) classes into Broad Habitats (BH) and Land Use (LUSE) classes.

Table 4.5 Classification of EFFIS Fuel Type groups into Broad Habitats (BH) and Land Use (LUSE) classes.

Table 4.6 Matrix showing the process filtering the IRS fire incidents and selecting wildfires. Counts of fire incidents for LUSE classes based on IRS Property Types given in brackets.

Table 4.7 Counts and respective proportions (in %) of IRS fire incidents falling outside and within the boundaries of settlements in Scotland.

Table 4.8 Agreement (%) of individual Broad Habitat (BH) classifications between BHs for the IRS Level 3 Property Types and respective BHs for the EUNIS habitat types, Land Cover Scotland 1988 (LCS88) classes, Land Cover Map 2015 (LCM15) classes and European Fuel Types Map (EFFIS FT), and overall agreement for all BHs for each dataset.

Table 5.2 Yearly counts and monthly proportions of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² for years 2009 to 2020.

Table 5.3 Counts of IRS wildfires at Broad Habitat (BH) level classified from Level 3 Property Types for years 2009 to 2020.

Table 5.4 Counts of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² at Broad Habitat (BH) level classified from Level 3 Property Types for years 2009 to 2020.

Table 5.5 Counts of IRS wildfires Broad Habitats (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for years 2009 to 2020.

Table 5.6 Counts of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² at Broad Habitats (BH) level classified from LCS88 classes for years 2009 to 2020.

Table 5.7 Monthly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.8 Monthly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.9 Monthly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.10 Monthly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.11 Daily counts of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.12 Daily counts of IRS wildfires per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.13 Daily counts of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from Level 3 Property Types for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.14 Daily counts of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Broad Habitat (BH) classified from LCS88 classes for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.15 Daily counts and proportions (in %, brackets) of IRS wildfires per recorded motive.

Table 5.16 Daily counts and proportions (in %, brackets) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m²per recorded motive.

Table 5.17 Total counts and proportions of cause of ignition per motive of IRS wildfires.

Table 5.18 Total counts and proportions of cause of ignition per motive of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Table 5.19 Total counts and proportions of ignition sources per motive of IRS wildfires.

Table 5.20 Total counts and proportions of ignition sources per motive of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Table 5.21 Total counts and proportions of first item ignited per motive of IRS wildfires.

Table 5.22 Total counts and proportions of first item ignited per motive of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Table 5.23 Total counts and proportions of items causing fire spread per motive of IRS wildfires.

Table 5.24 Daily counts and proportions of items causing spread per motive of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m².

Table 5.25 Counts of IRS wildfire Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from Level 3 Property Types per recorded Damage Area (DA) group: None; 0-100 m²; 100-1,000 m² and >1,000 m².

Table 5.26 Counts of IRS wildfire Broad Habitats (BHs) classified from LCS88 classes per recorded Damage Area (DA): 0-100 m²; 100-1,000 m² and >1,000 m².

Table 5.27 Description of the 8-fold Urban Rural (UR) classification system.

Table 5.28 Total counts and yearly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.29 Total counts and yearly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.30 Total counts and monthly proportions (%) of IRS wildfires per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.31 Total counts and monthly proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.32 Total counts and daily proportions of IRS wildfires per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.33 Total counts and daily proportions (in %) of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² per Local Authority (LA) for the 2009-2020 period.

Table 5.34 Total count of IRS wildfires and proportions (in %) of Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from Level 3 Property Types per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.35 Total count of IRS wildfires and proportions (in %) of Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from LCS88 classes per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.36 Total count of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² and proportions (in %) of Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from Level 3 Property Types per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.37 Total count of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² and proportions (in %) of Broad Habitat (BH) types classified from LCS88 classes per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.38 Total count of IRS wildfires and proportions (in %) of recorded motive per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.39 Total count of IRS wildfires with damage area greater than 1,000 m² and proportions (in %) of recorded motive per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.40 Total count of IRS wildfires and proportions (in %) of recorded Damage Area (DA) group: None; 0-100 m²; 100-1,000 m² and >1,000 m² per Local Authority (LA).

Table 5.41 Cluster groupings of each Local Authority (LA).

Table 6.2 Agreement (%) of individual Broad Habitat (BH) classifications between BHs classified from the recorded IRS Level 3 Property Types and dominant (i.e. covering greater area) BHs of burnt area polygons using the EUNIS habitat types, Land Cover Scotland 1988 (LCS88) classes, Land Cover Map 2015 (LCM15) classes and European Fuel Types 2000 (FT2000), and overall agreement for all BHs for each dataset. Results do not include polygons with bogs and peatlands as dominant cover.

Table 7.2 Minimum, median, mean and maximum recorded burnt areas (in hectares) for the countries included in the analysis.

Table 7.3 Number of EFFIS burnt area polygons with dominant covers of main fuel type groups for the countries included in the analysis.

Table 8.2 Descriptive statistics of numeric covariates in the locations of the Highland LA IRS wildfires.

Table 8.3 Accuracy statistics of the ignition risk model calculated using the independent sample points.