GDP Quarterly National Accounts: 2025 Quarter 3 (July to September)

Key Points

• In 2025 Quarter 3 (July to September), Scotland’s onshore GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.3% in real terms, revised up from the first estimate of 0.2% published on 26 November 2025. Compared to the same quarter last year, GDP is now estimated to have grown by an upwardly revised 1.2%.
• In the latest quarter, output grew by 0.7% in the services sector, grew by 0.2% in the construction sector, and fell by 1.7% in the production sector.
• In the services sector there was growth in ten of the fourteen subsectors. The largest positive contributions to growth were seen in professional, scientific and technical services, which grew by 2.3% in the quarter, and administrative and support services, which grew by 1.9%. The largest negative contribution in services was seen in the other services subsector, which fell by 1.5%.
• In the production sector, output fell in all four subsectors. The largest negative contributions were seen in manufacturing, which fell by 1.4% overall, and the electricity and gas supply subsector, which fell by 3.1%.
• Real GDP per head is estimated to have grown by 0.1% in the latest quarter, and has grown by 0.7% compared to the same quarter last year.
• The household saving ratio, which represents the proportion of disposable income which is available for saving or paying off debt, is estimated at 8.2% in the latest quarter, down slightly from 8.3% at the same point last year.
• This publication includes revisions to all components of GDP back to 1998, following the release of the latest supply and use tables for 1998-2022 and the annual process of constraining to these and updating weights. Further details can be found in the following pages.

Introduction

This publication includes updated estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) growth for Scotland in the latest quarter, along with a range of additional statistics which are regularly used for economic forecasting and modelling.

The latest statistics are based on annual benchmark levels and weights from the supply and use tables for 1998-2022. For these years, the output of industries and the supply and demand for goods and services across the economy are fully balanced and draw on the widest range of data sources. Estimates for quarters from 2023 onwards should be treated as more provisional, and are likely to be updated and revised over time. Revisions in GDP statistics are an inevitable consequence of the trade-off between timeliness and accuracy.

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An Accredited Official Statistics Publication for Scotland

These statistics are accredited official statistics. The Office for Statistics Regulation has independently reviewed and accredited these statistics as complying with the standards of trustworthiness, quality, and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics.

Quarterly National Accounts Scotland was accredited in January 2014, as detailed in Assessment Report 272.

Accredited official statistics are called National Statistics in the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007.

Scottish Government statistics are regulated by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR). OSR sets the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics that all producers of official statistics should adhere to.