Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic in Scotland - 26 February 2021

This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the coronavirus epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.

Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic in Scotland - 26 February 2021
Footnotes

Footnotes

1 Scottish Government: State+of+the+epidemic+report+-+19th+February+2021.pdf (www.gov.scot)

2 Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/?term=modelling&cat=filter&topics=Coronavirus%20in%20Scotland&publicationTypes=research-and-analysis&page=1

3 Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

4 The incidence rate of diagnosed infection is defined as the number of newly reported, laboratory confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 per 100,000 population.

5 Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

6 Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-trends-in-daily-data/

7 Source: Public Health Scotland

8 Public Health Scotland weekly trends dashboard: https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/population-health/covid-19/covid-19-statistical-report/27-january-2021/dashboard/

9 NRS Scotland: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/general-publications/weekly-and-monthly-data-on-births-and-deaths/deaths-involving-coronavirus-covid-19-in-scotland

10 Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases

11 Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c.1000 responses each week. Total sample size on 23-25 February was 1000 adults. ‘Complete’ or ‘almost complete’ compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 0-7 for the question: Thinking about ALL of the guidance from the Scottish Government on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions)...On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?

12 Total sample size on 23-25 February was 1000 adults. Sample size for those not yet vaccinated was 644 adults (220 18-34, 262 32-54, 162 55+). ‘Likely’ to be vaccinated refers to respondents who rated themselves 8 to 10 on a scale of 0-10 for the question: How likely or unlikely are you to be vaccinated for COVID-19 when a vaccine becomes available to you? (Please select a number between 0 and 10, where 0 means 'extremely unlikely' and 10 means 'extremely likely')

13 Public Health Scotland: https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/population-health/covid-19/covid-19-statistical-report/9-september-2020/dashboard/

14 Investigation of novel SARS-CoV-2 variant - Variant of Concern 202012/01 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

15 NERVTAG paper on COVID-19 variant of concern B.1.1.7 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

16 Variants: distribution of cases data - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

17 Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 variants (publishing.service.gov.uk)


Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot