Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 7 January 2022

This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the Covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.

Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 7 January 2022
Footnotes

Footnotes

1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

2. Self-Isolation and testing changes - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

3. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

4. Ibid.

5. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
(week on week comparison may be affected by the festive period and the data flow issue.)

6. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

7. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

8. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

9. Source: Public Health Scotland

10. Public Health Scotland: PHS COVID-19 Education report (shinyapps.io)

11. Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

12. ibid

13. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

14. Figures for test positivity rate in the last 7 days are available from 24 August 2020. Gaps in the line chart represent missing data for the periods 28 July 2021 to 2 August 2021 and 16 September 2021

15. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

16. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

17. ibid

18. There is considerable uncertainty surrounding these estimates by variant due to the small numbers of positives detected in Scotland.

19. Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

20. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

21. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

22. 22 December 2021 Risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 variant: Omicron VOC-21NOV-01 (B.1.1.529) (publishing.service.gov.uk)

23. SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation (publishing.service.gov.uk)

24. Ibid.

25. Ibid.

26. Severity of Omicron variant of concern and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease | The University of Edinburgh

27. 2021-12-22-COVID19-Report-50.pdf (imperial.ac.uk)

28. SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation (publishing.service.gov.uk)

29. Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

30. Public Health Scotland dashboard: COVID-19 Daily Dashboard - PHS COVID-19 | Tableau Public.

31. These figures refer both to young patients in hospital because of Covid-19 and with Covid-19.

32. COVID-19 Education Surveillance dashboard - Enhanced surveillance of COVID-19 in education settings - COVID-19 data and intelligence - COVID-19 - Our areas of work - Public Health Scotland

33. ICU or combined ICU/HDU (with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days). Please note that only patients with length of stay 28 days or less in ICU were recorded until 20 January 2021. From 20 January 2021 ICU short and long stay includes both ICU or combined ICU/HDU with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days.

34. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

35. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

36. NRS Scotland: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/general-publications/weekly-and-monthly-data-on-births-and-deaths/deaths-involving-coronavirus-covid-19-in-scotland

37. ibid

38. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

39. ibid

40. Coronavirus (COVID-19): ONS Infection Survey – antibody data for Scotland – 23 December 2021 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

41. ibid

42. Research and analysis overview: VEEP: Vaccine effectiveness table, 24 September 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

43. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

44. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

45. https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.47.2101021

46. Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

47. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

48. ibid

49. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

50. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/prevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk/2december2021

51. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c. 1000 responses each week. Fieldwork took place on 4-5 January with a total sample size of 1012 adults. 'Complete' or 'almost complete' compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 1-7 for the question:Thinking about ALL of the guidance on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions).On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?


Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot