Information

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.113)

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

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Technical Annex

What levels of Covid-19 are indicated by wastewater data?

Table 1 provides population weighted daily averages for normalised wastewater Covid-19 levels in the weeks ending 9th November and 16th November 2022, with no estimate for error. This is given in Million gene copies per person per day. Coverage is given as percentage of inhabitants in each local authority covered by a wastewater Covid‑19 sampling site delivering data during this period.

Table 1. Average Covid-19 wastewater levels (Mgc/p/d) [3]

Local Authority (LA)

w/e 9th November

w/e 16th

November

Coverage

Aberdeen City

46

38

99 %

Aberdeenshire

25

22

44 %

Angus

40

54

68 %

Argyll and Bute

8

11

23 %

City of Edinburgh

27

31

98 %

Clackmannanshire

30

9

81 %

Dumfries and Galloway

14

12

39 %

Dundee City

55

65

100 %

East Ayrshire

17

24

72 %

East Dunbartonshire

7

39

99 %

East Lothian

24

24

74 %

East Renfrewshire

11

34

95 %

Falkirk

38

36

96 %

Fife

26

30

82 %

Glasgow City

10

33

98 %

Highland

19

25

48 %

Inverclyde

20

24

98 %

Midlothian

25

30

88 %

Moray

16

29

70 %

Na h-Eileanan Siar

2

2

21 %

North Ayrshire

18

24

93 %

North Lanarkshire

12

35

94 %

Orkney Islands

10

8

34 %

Perth and Kinross

13

22

38 %

Renfrewshire

24

29

97 %

Scottish Borders

24

38

54 %

Shetland Islands

6

1

29 %

South Ayrshire

18

25

88 %

South Lanarkshire

12

32

79 %

Stirling

6

6

63 %

West Dunbartonshire

16

33

98 %

West Lothian

15

27

93 %

Contact

Email: sgcentralanalysisdivision@gov.scot

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