Coronavirus (COVID-19) teacher and lecturer estimates - 2020 results: EQIA

This equality impact assessment (EQIA) considers the results of using teacher and lecturer estimates following the cancellation of the examination diet in Spring 2020, due to COVID-19.


Annex A: Pass rates, publicly funded school candidates by characteristic, 2016 to 2020

1

National 5
Characteristics 2016 2017 2018 2019 Average 2016-2019 2020 Difference 2020 v 2016-19 average (percentage points)
Sex
Male 77.4% 77.6% 73.4% 75.5% 76.0% 87.0% 11.0
Female 81.7% 81.7% 79.4% 80.1% 80.7% 89.9% 9.2
Additional Support Needs2       
ASN 72.9% 73.3% 68.6% 70.9% 71.3% 84.3% 13.0
No ASN 80.9% 81.2% 78.6% 80.0% 80.2% 90.0% 9.8
Declared/Assessed disabled       
Not declared/assessed 79.7% 79.8% 76.6% 78.0% 78.5% 88.5% 10.0
Declared/ assessed 74.4% 74.3% 69.5% 71.0% 72.2% 85.8% 13.6
SIMD3       
0-20% (Most Deprived) 72.7% 72.6% 68.9% 69.6% 70.9% 84.8% 13.9
20-40% 75.8% 75.7% 71.6% 73.7% 74.2% 86.1% 11.9
40-60% 79.0% 79.3% 76.1% 77.5% 78.0% 88.3% 10.3
60-80% 81.8% 82.0% 79.0% 80.6% 80.9% 89.8% 8.9
80-100% (Least Deprived) 86.1% 86.2% 83.6% 84.6% 85.1% 91.8% 6.7
Urban Rural       
Large Urban Areas 79.7% 79.9% 77.0% 78.0% 78.7% 89.0% 10.3
Other Urban Areas 78.7% 78.9% 75.7% 76.8% 77.5% 87.6% 10.1
Accessible Small Towns 80.1% 79.9% 77.2% 79.2% 79.1% 88.6% 9.5
Remote Small Towns 78.9% 79.2% 73.7% 76.4% 77.1% 88.3% 11.3
Accessible Rural 81.0% 81.0% 77.4% 79.2% 79.7% 88.9% 9.2
Remote Rural 81.1% 80.6% 77.8% 79.6% 79.8% 90.3% 10.5
Ethnicity4       
White - Scottish 79.4% 79.5% 76.1% 77.6% 78.2% 88.4% 10.2
White - non-Scottish 80.9% 80.8% 77.6% 78.6% 79.4% 88.8% 9.4
Mixed or multiple ethnic groups 81.9% 83.1% 78.2% 82.0% 81.3% 90.2% 8.9
Asian - Indian 84.3% 82.9% 84.7% 83.3% 83.8% 91.9% 8.1
Asian - Pakistani 78.6% 78.3% 77.8% 79.4% 78.5% 87.5% 9.0
Asian - Chinese 90.7% 90.1% 87.2% 88.9% 89.3% 95.2% 6.0
Asian - Other 81.8% 82.1% 79.7% 80.2% 81.0% 89.7% 8.8
African/ Black/ Caribbean 79.0% 76.2% 75.5% 74.9% 76.2% 86.7% 10.5
All other categories 78.9% 77.5% 80.6% 75.1% 78.0% 87.1% 9.1
Not Disclosed/Not known 77.5% 79.7% 74.7% 74.7% 76.6% 85.7% 9.2
English as an Additional Language5
English as main language 79.7% 79.8% 76.6% 78.0% 78.6% 88.7% 10.2
English as an Additional Language 76.6% 76.5% 74.9% 74.5% 75.6% 86.8% 11.2
All candidates 79.6% 79.7% 76.5% 77.8% 78.4% 88.5% 10.0

1. Candidates’ characteristics from the Scottish Government pupil census prior to the release of the exam results. For example the 2020 results use the characteristics from the 2019 pupil census.

2. Includes pupils who are assessed or declared disabled or have a CSP, IEP, Child Plan or ome other type of support. This is consistent with the definition used in Scottish Government statistics on education.

3. Based on SIMD 2012 for 2016 results and SIMD 2016 for 2017 to 2020. More information on the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation can be found at: http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/SIMD.

4. The categories used agree with the categories used in the main population census.

5. Analysis by English as an Additional Language was performed at a later date than the other analysis. As a result the 2020 figures are based on a slightly different dataset. The resulting differences are likely to be very small and should not affect interpretation of the figures.

Higher
Characteristics 2016 2017 2018 2019 Average 2016-2019 2020 Difference 2020 v 2016-19 average (percentage points)
Sex       
Male 73.7% 73.3% 72.9% 70.8% 72.7% 86.4% 13.6
Female 80.1% 79.7% 79.8% 76.3% 79.0% 90.6% 11.6
Additional Support Needs2       
ASN 71.5% 72.1% 71.3% 67.9% 70.5% 85.5% 15.0
No ASN 78.0% 77.6% 77.8% 75.3% 77.2% 89.6% 12.4
Declared/Assessed disabled       
Not declared/assessed 77.3% 76.9% 76.8% 74.0% 76.2% 88.8% 12.5
Declared/ assessed 73.5% 72.3% 72.0% 68.2% 71.4% 86.4% 15.0
SIMD3       
0-20% (Most Deprived) 69.8% 69.2% 69.3% 65.4% 68.4% 85.7% 17.3
20-40% 72.9% 72.3% 72.1% 68.5% 71.5% 86.7% 15.2
40-60% 76.5% 75.5% 75.2% 73.5% 75.2% 88.6% 13.3
60-80% 79.0% 78.5% 78.8% 75.9% 78.1% 89.4% 11.3
80-100% (Least Deprived) 82.3% 82.8% 82.4% 79.9% 81.9% 91.0% 9.2
Urban Rural       
Large Urban Areas 77.3% 77.3% 77.6% 74.3% 76.6% 88.7% 12.1
Other Urban Areas 76.1% 76.0% 75.7% 72.3% 75.0% 88.0% 13.0
Accessible Small Towns 76.9% 77.0% 77.1% 74.9% 76.5% 89.6% 13.1
Remote Small Towns 77.5% 75.6% 74.6% 71.9% 74.9% 89.3% 14.4
Accessible Rural 78.6% 77.9% 77.8% 75.8% 77.6% 88.9% 11.2
Remote Rural 79.6% 77.9% 77.2% 77.1% 78.0% 91.0% 13.0
Ethnicity4       
White - Scottish 77.0% 76.6% 76.5% 73.5% 75.9% 88.7% 12.8
White - non-Scottish 79.0% 79.0% 79.0% 76.5% 78.3% 89.8% 11.5
Mixed or multiple ethnic groups 79.2% 78.7% 80.9% 76.8% 78.9% 89.8% 10.9
Asian - Indian 79.0% 80.7% 83.7% 79.7% 80.8% 89.9% 9.1
Asian - Pakistani 77.3% 74.8% 74.2% 71.9% 74.4% 86.2% 11.8
Asian - Chinese 84.5% 85.6% 85.2% 86.8% 85.5% 92.9% 7.4
Asian - Other 75.3% 75.7% 77.1% 73.4% 75.4% 87.1% 11.8
African/ Black/ Caribbean 75.7% 75.9% 72.1% 70.4% 73.3% 85.0% 11.7
All other categories 80.2% 77.5% 73.7% 74.2% 76.1% 88.1% 12.0
Not Disclosed/Not known 74.7% 77.4% 74.6% 76.1% 75.7% 87.0% 11.3
English as an Additional Language5
English as main language 77.3% 77.0% 76.9% 74.0% 76.3% 89.0% 12.7
English as an Additional Language 74.6% 73.6% 73.8% 72.3% 73.5% 87.4% 13.9
All candidates 77.2% 76.8% 76.7% 73.9% 76.2% 88.7% 12.5

1. Candidates’ characteristics from the Scottish Government pupil census prior to the release of the exam results. For example the 2020 results use the characteristics from the 2019 pupil census.

2. Includes pupils who are assessed or declared disabled or have a CSP, IEP, Child Plan or ome other type of support. This is consistent with the definition used in Scottish Government statistics on education.3. Based on SIMD 2012 for 2016 results and SIMD 2016 for 2017 to 2020. More information on the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation can be found at: http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/SIMD.

4. The categories used agree with the categories used in the main population census.

5. Analysis by English as an Additional Language was performed at a later date than the other analysis. As a result the 2020 figures are based on a slightly different dataset. The resulting differences are likely to be very small and should not affect interpretation of the figures.

Advanced Higher
Characteristics 2016 2017 2018 2019 Average 2016-2019 2020 Difference 2020 v 2016-19 average (percentage points)
Sex       
Male 76.6% 74.9% 74.6% 75.3% 75.3% 90.0% 14.7
Female 83.3% 80.7% 82.1% 79.5% 81.4% 93.6% 12.2
Additional Support Needs2       
ASN 77.4% 77.4% 75.5% 75.5% 76.3% 90.6% 14.4
No ASN 80.6% 78.2% 79.3% 78.1% 79.1% 92.4% 13.3
Declared/Assessed disabled       
Not declared/ assessed disabled 80.2% 78.1% 78.8% 77.7% 78.7% 92.1% 13.4
Declared or assessed disabled 87.5% 81.3% 77.0% 72.4% 79.4% 91.2% 11.8
SIMD3       
0-20% (Most Deprived) 76.0% 72.8% 73.0% 70.4% 73.0% 91.2% 18.2
20-40% 76.7% 75.0% 73.6% 73.3% 74.6% 89.8% 15.1
40-60% 78.4% 77.3% 77.9% 76.8% 77.6% 92.0% 14.4
60-80% 81.2% 78.4% 78.9% 79.1% 79.4% 92.3% 12.9
80-100% (Least Deprived) 82.7% 80.9% 82.4% 80.5% 81.6% 92.9% 11.3
Urban Rural       
Large Urban Areas 81.7% 80.0% 80.3% 80.1% 80.5% 92.1% 11.6
Other Urban Areas 78.2% 75.4% 76.7% 74.1% 76.1% 91.9% 15.9
Accessible Small Towns 81.3% 77.9% 77.6% 77.2% 78.5% 92.2% 13.8
Remote Small Towns 81.0% 75.7% 75.9% 78.5% 77.6% 91.8% 14.2
Accessible Rural 80.5% 79.7% 80.6% 79.6% 80.1% 91.8% 11.7
Remote Rural 81.0% 82.2% 81.8% 80.5% 81.4% 92.8% 11.4
Ethnicity4       
White - Scottish 80.2% 77.7% 78.5% 76.9% 78.3% 92.4% 14.1
White - non-Scottish 81.2% 81.3% 80.6% 80.6% 80.9% 93.2% 12.4
Mixed or multiple ethnic groups 86.0% 77.0% 86.5% 83.1% 83.3% 89.1% 5.7
Asian - Indian 81.4% 78.8% 82.3% 87.1% 82.5% 91.6% 9.1
Asian - Pakistani 74.3% 81.9% 76.1% 76.2% 77.1% 84.1% 7.0
Asian - Chinese 84.1% 83.6% 79.2% 81.6% 81.9% 93.6% 11.7
Asian - Other 75.3% 83.4% 72.9% 77.9% 77.2% 87.4% 10.3
African/ Black/ Caribbean 80.3% 70.8% 77.0% 74.9% 75.6% 86.2% 10.6
All other categories 75.0% 76.4% 76.3% 82.2% 77.4% 87.7% 10.2
Not Disclosed/Not known 82.1% 81.1% 83.1% 82.1% 82.1% 93.5% 11.4
English as an Additional Language5
English as main language 80.4% 78.1% 79.0% 77.6% 78.8% 92.3% 13.4
English as an Additional Language 75.3% 78.1% 72.2% 78.2% 76.0% 88.1% 12.1
All candidates 80.3% 78.1% 78.7% 77.7% 78.7% 92.1% 13.4

1. Candidates’ characteristics from the Scottish Government pupil census prior to the release of the exam results. For example the 2020 results use the characteristics from the 2019 pupil census.

2. Includes pupils who are assessed or declared disabled or have a CSP, IEP, Child Plan or some other type of support. This is consistent with the definition used in Scottish Government statistics on education.

3. Based on SIMD 2012 for 2016 results and SIMD 2016 for 2017 to 2020. More information on the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation can be found at: http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/SIMD.

4. The categories used agree with the categories used in the main population census.

5. Analysis by English as an Additional Language was performed at a later date than the other analysis. As a result the 2020 figures are based on a slightly different dataset. The resulting differences are likely to be very small and should not affect interpretation of the figures.

Contact

Email: helen.mansbridge@gov.scot

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