Publication - Research and analysis

Waste markets study: full report

Published: 23 Apr 2019

Study regarding treatment options for Scottish biodegradable municipal waste.

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

Contents
Waste markets study: full report
Appendix 6: Economic Modelling Time Series

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

Appendix 6: Economic Modelling Time Series

Table 26: Scenario 1, Option 1 (Million £)

Economic Sector 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Total NPV
Public Authorities -115 -113 -108 -104 -99 -98 -97 -96 -95 -94 -1,018 -853
Waste Collectors -105 -102 -98 -94 -90 -89 -87 -86 -84 -83 -918 -770
Haulage 13 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 104 87
Exporters 22 19 19 18 17 17 17 16 16 16 176 148
Treatment/ Landfill Providers (Scotland) 42 56 53 51 48 47 47 47 46 46 483 403
Environmental Cost 1 1 1 3 4 5 7 9 10 12 52 40
Total -143 -127 -122 -116 -111 -107 -103 -100 -97 -93 -1,120 -943

Table 27: Scenario 1, Option 2 (Million £)

Economic Sector 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Total NPV
Public Authorities -114 -112 -107 -103 -97 -96 -95 -94 -93 -92 -1,005 -842
Waste Collectors -105 -102 -98 -94 -78 -76 -75 -74 -72 -71 -845 -713
Haulage 12 11 10 10 6 6 6 5 5 5 76 65
Exporters 30 27 26 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 107 99
Treatment/ Landfill Providers (Scotland) 42 56 53 51 173 170 168 166 164 161 1,204 962
Environmental Cost 1 1 2 3 -1 0 2 3 4 5 21 16
Total -135 -119 -114 -109 3 4 5 6 7 9 -443 -414

Table 28: Scenario 2, Option 1 (Million £)

Economic Sector 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Total NPV
Public Authorities -132 -135 -136 -136 -136 -137 -137 -137 -138 -138 -1,362 -1,132
Waste Collectors -115 -115 -115 -114 -114 -114 -114 -115 -115 -115 -1,146 -953
Haulage 15 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 133 111
Exporters 24 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 220 184
Treatment/ Landfill Providers (Scotland) 51 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 73 73 698 577
Environmental Cost 1 1 2 4 5 7 10 12 14 17 73 57
Total -157 -143 -142 -140 -139 -137 -134 -132 -130 -128 -1,382 -1,156

Table 29: Scenario 2, Option 2 (Million £)

Economic Sector 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Total NPV
Public Authorities -131 -134 -135 -135 -133 -134 -134 -134 -135 -135 -1,340 -1,114
Waste Collectors -115 -115 -115 -114 -98 -98 -98 -99 -99 -99 -1,050 -879
Haulage 14 12 12 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 89 76
Exporters 33 30 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 124 114
Treatment/ Landfill Providers (Scotland) 51 71 71 71 231 231 231 232 232 233 1,654 1,317
Environmental Cost 2 2 3 4 4 5 8 5 6 8 46 37
Total -147 -134 -133 -131 9 11 13 10 11 14 -477 -449

Contact

Email: eqce.cezw@gov.scot