Publication - Research and analysis

Waste markets study: full report

Published: 23 Apr 2019

Study regarding treatment options for Scottish biodegradable municipal waste.

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

Contents
Waste markets study: full report
Appendix 5: Financial Modelling Assumptions

73 page PDF

2.4 MB

Appendix 5: Financial Modelling Assumptions

This appendix sets out the following financial modelling assumptions:

  • Table 21: Household Baseline Gate Fee Assumptions
  • Table 22: Household Post 2021 Gate Fee Assumptions

Table 23: C&I Baseline Gate Fee Assumptions

Table 24: C&I Post 2021 Gate Fee Assumptions

  • Table 25: Transfer Station Cost Assumptions

Table 21: Household Baseline Gate Fee Assumptions

2018/19 2019/2020 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23-
Inflation 3.7% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0%
Landfill Gate Fee - Rural £106.00 £109.18 £112.35 £115.60 £119.07
Landfill Gate Fee - Urban £101.00 £104.03 £107.05 £110.15 £113.46
Landfill Gate Fee – Island £94.00 £96.82 £99.63 £102.52 £105.59
RDF Export (incl. processing costs of £15 per tonne 2018/19) £100.00 £103.00 £105.99 £109.06 £112.33
EfW £103.00 £106.09 £109.17 £112.33 £115.70
Haulage per Tonne mile £000.15 £0.15 £0.16 £0.16 £0.17

Table 22: Household Post 2021 Gate Fee Assumptions

Readiness Ranking 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27
RDF Export* 1 £109.06 £112.33 £115.70 £119.17 £122.75 £126.43
RDF Export* 2 £109.06 £112.33 £115.70 £119.17 £122.75 £126.43
RDF Export* 3 £119.97 £121.26 £122.55 £123.85 £125.14 £126.43
RDF Export* 4 £119.97 £121.26 £122.55 £123.85 £125.14 £126.43
EfW in Scotland 1 £112.33 £115.70 £119.17 £122.75 £126.43 £130.22
EfW in Scotland 2 £119.97 £123.57 £127.27 £131.09 £135.02 £139.07
EfW in Scotland 3 £119.97 £123.57 £127.27 £131.09 £135.02 £139.07
EfW in Scotland 4 £119.97 £123.57 £127.27 £131.09 £135.02 £139.07
Export to England 1 £114.51 £117.95 £121.49 £125.13 £128.89 £132.75
Export to England 2 £114.51 £117.95 £121.49 £125.13 £128.89 £132.75
Export to England 3 £125.42 £126.89 £128.35 £129.82 £131.29 £132.75
Export to England 4 £125.42 £126.89 £128.35 £129.82 £131.29 £132.75
Haulage per tonne mile Urban/ Rural £0.16 £0.17 £0.17 £0.18 £0.18 £0.19
Haulage per tonne mile Island £0.31 £0.32 £0.33 £0.34 £0.35 £0.36

Notes: *RDF Gate fee includes processing costs of £15 per tonne 2018/19 (increased annually with inflation).

Table 23: C&I Baseline Gate Fee Assumptions

2018/19 2019/2020 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 -
Inflation 3.7% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0%
Landfill Gate Fee 101 £104.03 £107.05 £110.15 £113.46
Haulage per Tonne £0.15 £0.15 £0.16 £0.16 £0.17

Table 24: C&I Post 2021 Gate Fee Assumptions

2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
RDF Export £115 £116 £118 £119 £120
EfW in Scotland £105 £109 £112 £116 £120
Export to England £130 £132 £133 £135 £136
Haulage per Tonne (Mainland) £0.16 £0.17 £0.17 £0.18 £0.18
Haulage per Tonne (Islands) £0.31 £0.32 £0.33 £0.34 £0.35

Notes: *RDF Gate fee includes processing costs of £15 per tonne 2018/19 (increased annually with inflation).

Table 25: Transfer Station Cost Assumptions

Capital Cost Interest Rate Paydown Period (Yrs) Annualised Cost
Cost for Developing Facility £3,000,000 2.3% 14 £253,774

Contact

Email: eqce.cezw@gov.scot