Publication - Research publication

Tackling child poverty delivery plan: forecasting child poverty in Scotland

Published: 29 Mar 2018

Child poverty projections for Scotland independently produced by Howard Reed at Landman Economics and Graham Start at Virtual Worlds Research.

82 page PDF

778.8 kB

82 page PDF

778.8 kB

Contents
Tackling child poverty delivery plan: forecasting child poverty in Scotland
References

82 page PDF

778.8 kB

References

Browne, James, Andrew Hood, and Robert Joyce (2016), “The (Changing) Effects of Universal Credit,” February. https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/8136

Creedy, John (2003) Survey Reweighting for Tax Microsimulation Modelling. Treasury Working Paper Series 03/17. New Zealand Treasury. http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/wp/2003/03-17/twp03-17.pdf

Creedy, John, and Ivan Tuckwell (2003), Reweighting the New Zealand Household Economic Survey for Tax Microsimulation Modelling. 03/33. New Zealand Treasury. https://ideas.repec.org/p/nzt/nztwps/03-33.html

Dellot, Benedict (2017), “Universal Credit will be a disaster for the self-employed. Who is listening?”, RSA blog, Royal Society of Arts website. https://www.thersa.org/discover/publications-and-articles/rsa-blogs/2017/10/universal-credit-will-be-a-disaster-for-the-self-employed.-who-is-listening

Deville, Jean-Claude, and Carl-Erik Sarndal (1992), “Calibration Estimators in Survey Sampling.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 87 (418): pp. 376–382. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290268

DWP [Department for Work and Pensions] (2013), “The Universal Credit Regulations 2013.” https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2013/9780111531938/contents

DWP, (2014), “Initial Review of the Family Resources Survey Weighting Scheme - GOV. UK.” https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/initial-review-of-the-family-resources-survey-weighting-scheme.

DWP (2016a), “Welfare Reform and Work Act 2016.” http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2016/7/contents/enacted

DWP (2016b), “How Low Income Is Measured in Households Below Average Income Statistics.” https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/how-low-income-is-measured

DWP (2017a), “Family Resources Survey: Financial Year 2015/16 - GOV. UK.” https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/family-resources-survey-financial-year-201516

DWP (2017b), “Households Below Average Income: 1994/95 to 2015/16 - GOV. UK.” https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/households-below-average-income-199495-to-201516

DWP (2017c): “Income Dynamics (experimental) – GOV. UK”. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/income-dynamics-experimental

DWP (2017d) Income-related benefits: estimates of take-up: financial year 2015/16. London: Department for Work and Pensions. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/income-related-benefits-estimates-of-take-up-financial-year-201516

Gauke, David (2017), “Universal Credit”. Hansard Vol 631 (23 November 2017). https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2017-11-23/debates/36EF5FEE-7FB1-4841-A242-7625ED73FCA0/UniversalCredit

Giles, Dave (2011), “An overly confident (future) Nobel Laureate”, 30 August 2011. http://davegiles.blogspot.com/2011/08/overly-confident-future-nobel-laureate.html.

Harrop, Andrew and Reed, Howard (2015), Inequality 2030: Britain’s choice for living standards and poverty. London: Fabian Society. https://www.fabians.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Inequality2030.pdf

Haughton, Jonathan, and Shahidur R. Khandker (2009) Handbook on Poverty and Inequality. 48338. The World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/488081468157174849/Handbook-on-poverty-and-inequality

HMRC (2017) Child Benefit, Child Tax Credit ( CTC) and Working Tax Credit ( WTC) take-up rates 2015 to 2016. London: HMRC. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/child-benefit-child-tax-credit-ctc-and-working-tax-credit-wtc-take-up-rates-2015-to-2016

Hood, A. and Waters, T. (2017), Living standards, poverty and inequality in the UK: 2017-18 to 2021-22. IFS Report no. R136. London: Institute for Fiscal Studies. https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/10028

Institute for Social and Economic Research (2018), “Understanding Society – The UK Household Longitudinal Study.” https://www.understandingsociety.ac.uk/.

Levell, Peter, and Thomas Skingle (2012), “Comparing Household Inflation Experiences Measured by the CPI and RPI”. IFS Working Papers no 12/21. https://doi.org/10.1920/wp.ifs.2012.1221

National Records of Scotland (2017a), “Projected Population of Scotland (2016-Based): Additional Variants Using Alternative European Union Migration Assumptions.” Document. National Records of Scotland. https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/population-projections-scotland/2016-based-additional-variants

National Records of Scotland (2017b), “Household Projections for Scotland, 2014-Based National Records of Scotland.” https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/households/household-projections/2014-based-household-projections.

Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (2016), “Northern Ireland Household Projections (2012-Based).” Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. https://www.nisra.gov.uk/publications/northern-ireland-household-projections-2012-based

Office for Budget Responsibility (2017), “Economic and Fiscal Outlook – March 2017.” Office for Budget Responsibility. http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/efo/economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2017/

Office for Budget Responsibility (2018), “Data.” Office for Budget Responsibility. http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/data/

ONS (2016a), “2014-Based Household Projections: Methodology - GOV. UK.” https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/2014-based-household-projections-methodology

ONS (2016b), “2014-Based Household Projections in England, 2014 to 2039 - GOV. UK.” https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/2014-based-household-projections-in-england-2014-to-2039

ONS (2017), “Population Projections - Office for National Statistics.” https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections

ONS (2018), “Consumer price inflation, UK: January 2018”, https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/january2018

Reed, Howard and Portes, Jonathan (2014), Understanding the parental employment scenarios necessary to meet the 2020 Child Poverty Targets. Research Report, Social Mobility and Child Poverty Commission. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/318073/3b_Poverty_Research_-_Final.pdf

Reed, Howard and Portes, Jonathan (2018), The Cumulative Impact of Tax and Welfare Reforms. EHRC Research Report. London: Equality and Human Rights Commission. https://www.equalityhumanrights.com/en/publication-download/cumulative-impact-tax-and-welfare-reforms

Scottish Fiscal Commission (2018), “Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts December 2017.” Scottish Fiscal Commission. http://www.fiscalcommission.scot/publications/scotlands-economic-and-fiscal-forecasts/scotlands-economic-and-fiscal-forecasts-december-2017/

Scottish Government (2016), “Scottish Budget - Draft Budget 2017-18 Devolved Taxes Methodology Report.” http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2016/12/6669/downloads

Scottish Government (2017a), “Social Security: Designing a Social Security Agency for Scotland - Gov.scot.” https://beta.gov.scot/policies/social-security/social-security-agency/

Scottish Government (2017b), “Social Security: Best Start Grant - Gov.scot.” https://beta.gov.scot/policies/social-security/best-start-grant/

Scottish Government (2017c), “Social Security: Benefits for Carers - Gov.scot.” https://beta.gov.scot/policies/social-security/benefits-for-carers/

Scottish Government (2017d), Poverty and Income Inequality in Scotland: 2015/16. http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2017/03/2213

Scottish Government (2017e), Persistent Poverty in Scotland: 2010-15. http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2017/03/9574

Scottish Government (2017f), “Overview of characteristics associated with poverty: Tables of poverty rate, composition and number for different groups”, http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Social-Welfare/IncomePoverty/povertytable

Scottish Government (2018), “Income tax policy proposals in Budget Bill: Fact Sheet (update as of 20 February 2018). http://www.gov.scot/Resource/0053/00531596.pdf

Scottish Parliament (2017a), “Scottish Parliament TV Social Security Committee : June 22, 2017.” https://www.scottishparliament.tv/meeting/social-security-committee-june-22-2017

Scottish Parliament (2017b), “Child Poverty (Scotland) Bill.” http://www.parliament.scot/parliamentarybusiness/Bills/103404.aspx

Scottish Parliament (2017c), “Social Security (Scotland) Act”. http://www.parliament.scot/parliamentarybusiness/Bills/105267.aspx

Welsh Government (2017), “Welsh Government Household Projections.” http://gov.wales/statistics-and-research/household-projections/?lang=en


Contact