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Scottish Parliament election: 7 May. This site won't be routinely updated during the pre-election period.

Scenario modelling 2023 fuel poverty levels under 2019 fuel prices

This publication provides the results from scenario modelling of fuel poverty rates in 2023 under 2019 energy prices.


Annex 

A. Modelled energy use

The modelled energy use shown in the table below is the annual energy consumption required by a household to meet their statutory heating regime as set out in The Fuel Poverty (Enhanced Heating) (Scotland) Regulations 2020.  This differs from the actual energy use of the household, which may vary considerably depending on personal preference and priorities relative to other types of household expenditure.

Annex A: Mean modelled annual running costs and percentage difference 2019 and 2023.

Year

Mean annual running cost

Difference

2019

£1,820 

 

2023

£3,150

+ 73%

B. Unit prices of Gas and Electricity

Annex B: Maximum unit prices and standing charges under the Ofgem energy price cap for a household paying by direct debit 2019 compared to 2023.

Period

Gas unit charge (pence per kWh)

 

Gas standing charge (pence per day)

Electricity unit charge (pence per kWh)

Electricity standing charge (pence per day)

2019 (weighted average)

3.9

26.4

17.9

23.3

2023 (weighted average)

8.8

29.2

30.9

53.1

% increase

123%

11%

73%

128%

To note in the table above we have quoted the weighted average annual Ofgem gas and electricity prices as they are the most common fuel types in Scotland accounting for around 92% of all dwellings. However, in cases where a dwelling does not use gas for heating, fuel bills are calculated using the price of the main heating fuel used by the dwelling for example oil, LPG, wood chips, Economy 7 on and off peak electricity, or house coal.

Contact

shcs@gov.scot

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