Planning Scotland's Seas: 2013 - The Scottish Marine Protected Area Project – Developing the Evidence Base tor Impact Assessments and the Sustainability Appraisal Final Report

Appendix C. Sector Descriptions and Scenarios

Contents

C.1. Marine Aggregates
C.1.1 Introduction
C.1.2 Sector Definition
C.1.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.1.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.1.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.1.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.1.7 Assessment Methods
C.1.8 Limitations

C.2. Aquaculture - Finfish
C.2.1 Introduction
C.2.2 Sector Definition
C.2.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.2.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.2.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.2.3.3 Future trends
C.2.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.2.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.2.6 Assumptions on Cost Impacts for Scenarios
C.2.7 Assessment Methods
C.2.8 Limitations
C.2.9 References

C.3. Aquaculture - Shellfish
C.3.1 Introduction
C.3.2 Sub-sector Definition
C.3.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.3.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.3.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.3.3.3 Future trends
C.3.3.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.3.4 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.3.5 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.3.6 Assessment Methods
C.3.7 Limitations
C.3.8 References

C.4. Aviation
C.4.1 IntroductionC.4.2 Sector Definition
C.4.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.4.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.4.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.4.3.3 Future trends
C.4.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.4.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.4.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.4.7 Assessment Methods
C.4.8 Limitations
C.4.9 References

C.5. Carbon Capture and Storage
C.5.1 Introduction
C.5.2 Sector Definition
C.5.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.5.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.5.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.5.3.3 Future trends
C.5.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.5.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.5.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.5.7 Assessment Methods
C.5.8 Limitations
C.5.9 References

C.6. Coast Protection and Flood Defence
C.6.1 Introduction
C.6.2 Sector Definition
C.6.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.6.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.6.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.6.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.6.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.6.7 Assessment Methods
C.6.8 Limitations
C.6.9 References

C.7. Commercial Fisheries
C.7.1 Introduction
C.7.2 Sector Definition
C.7.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.7.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.7.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.7.6 Assumptions on Cost Impacts for Scenarios
C.7.7 Assessment Methods
C.7.7.1 Loss of the Value of Landings
C.7.7.2 Estimating the Impact of Lost Landings on Gross Value Added ( GVA) and Employment
C.7.8 Limitations
C.7.9 References

C.8. Energy Generation
C.8.1 Introduction
C.8.2 Sector Definition
C.8.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.8.3.1 Conventional electricity generation
C.8.3.2 Offshore Renewable Energy
C.8.3.3 Marine biomass
C.8.3.4 Supply chain for offshore renewables
C.8.3.5 Current economic value and employment
C.8.3.6 Future trends
C.8.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.8.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.8.6 Assumptions on Cost Impacts for Scenarios
C.8.7 Assessment Methods
C.8.8 Limitations
C.8.9 References

C.9. Military Activities
C.9.1 Introduction
C.9.2 Sector Definition
C.9.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.9.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.9.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.9.3.3 Future trends
C.9.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.9.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.9.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.9.7 Assessment Methods
C.9.8 Limitations
C.9.9 References

C.10. Oil and Gas
C.10.1 Introduction
C.10.2 Sector Definition
C.10.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.10.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.10.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.10.3.3 Future trends
C.10.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.10.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.10.6 Assumptions on Cost Impacts for Scenarios
C.10.7 Assessment Methods
C.10.8 Limitations
C.10.9 References

C.11. Ports and Harbours
C.11.1 Introduction
C.11.2 Sector Definition
C.11.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.11.3.1 Location and intensity of current activities
C.11.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.11.3.3 Future trends
C.11.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.11.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.11.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.11.7 Assessment Methods
C.11.8 Limitations
C.11.9 References

C.12. Power Interconnectors and Transmission Lines
C.12.1 Introduction
C.12.2 Sector Definition
C.12.2.1 Overview of Existing Activity
C.12.2.2 Location and intensity of activity
C.12.2.3 Economic value and employment
C.12.3 Future trends
C.12.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.12.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.12.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.12.7 Assessment Methods
C.12.8 Limitations
C.12.9 References

C.13. Recreational Boating
C.13.1 Introduction
C.13.2 Sector Definition
C.13.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.13.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.13.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.13.3.3 Future trends
C.13.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.13.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.13.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.13.7 Assessment Methods
C.13.8 Limitations
C.13.9 References

C.14. Shipping
C.14.1 Introduction
C.14.2 Sector Definition
C.14.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.14.3.1 Location and intensity of current activities
C.14.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.14.3.3 Future trends
C.14.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.14.5 Potentially Significant Interactions with MPA Features
C.14.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.14.7 Assessment Methods
C.14.8 Limitations
C.14.9 References

C.15. Telecom Cables
C.15.1 Introduction
C.15.2 Sector Definition
C.15.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.15.3.1 Distribution level and intensity of activity
C.15.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.15.3.3 Future trends
C.15.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.15.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.15.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.15.7 Assessment Methods
C.15.8 Limitations
C.15.9 References

C.16. Tourism
C.16.1 Introduction
C.16.2 Sector Definition
C.16.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.16.3.1 Location of current activity
C.16.3.2 Types of activity
C.16.3.3 Economic Value and Employment
C.16.3.4 Expenditure and income
C.16.3.5 Employment
C.16.3.6 Future Trends in Tourism
C.16.4 Future Trends
C.16.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.16.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.16.7 Assessment Methods
C.16.8 Limitations
C.16.9 References

C.17. Water Sports
C.17.1 Introduction
C.17.2 Sector Definition
C.17.3 Overview of Existing Activity
C.17.3.1 Location and intensity of activity
C.17.3.2 Economic value and employment
C.17.3.3 Future trends
C.17.4 Assumptions on Future Activity
C.17.5 Potential Interactions with MPA Features
C.17.6 Assumptions on Management Measures for Scenarios
C.17.7 Assessment Methods
C.17.8 Limitations
C.17.9 References

Tables

C2.1 Finfish information sources

C3.1 Shellfish information sources

C4.1 Aviation information sources

C4.2 Constrained terminal passenger and ATM 'central' forecasts for major Scottish airports

C5.1. Carbon capture and storage information sources

C6.1 Coast Protection and Flood Defence information sources

C7.1 Quantity and value of landings by Scottish based vessels by species type and vessel length (2010)

C7.2 Landings into the top three Scottish ports (2010)

C7.3 Number of fishermen employed on Scottish based vessels, by district (2010)

C7.4 Employment in fish and shellfish processing and retail in Scotland

C7.5 GVA as a percentage of total income, by gear type, 2007-2011

C7.6 Marine Fishing and Freshwater Fishing: Type I and Type II GVA Multipliers and Employment Effects (Scotland 2009)

C8.1 Energy Generation Information Sources

C8.2. Planned wind, tidal and wave renewable energy projects around Scotland and within Scottish Territorial Waters as at 29 May 2013

C9.1 Military Activities Information Sources

C10.1 Oil and Gas information sources.

C10.2 Production and revenues from oil and gas from Scottish sea areas between 2005-2008

C10.3. The anticipated additional requirements and costs for the assessment of environmental impact in future licence applications for the oil and gas sector arising as a result of MPAs (from Annex H11 of Finding Sanctuary et al, 2012)

C11.1 Information Sources

C12.1 Information Sources

C12.2 Potential Future Power Interconnector Cables and Transmission Lines

C13.1 Information Sources

C13.2 Economic impact of sailing in Scotland

C14.1 Information Sources

C14.2 Ship type arrivals at 16 major ports

C14.3 Employees in the shipping sector

C15.1 Information Sources

C16.1 Information Sources

C16.2 Places visited

C16.3 Main tourism activities

C16.4 Economic contribution by type of wildlife tourism

C16.5 Mean tourism expenditure

C16.6 Employment generated from wildlife tourism

C17.1 Information Sources

C17.2 Total and average annual spending, by water sport activity

Images

C7.1. Quantity and Value of Landings by Scottish Vessels: Percentage of Each Species Type (2010) 32

C7.2. Number of Active Scottish Based Vessels by Length Group as at 31 December 2010 33

C10.1. Actual and Projected UK Oil and Gas Production 1998-2030. 79

C16.1. Proportion of People Undertaking Different Types of Marine and Coastal Activity 126

Figures

C1 Marine Aggregates - Location of Existing Licensed Areas

C2 Finfish Aquaculture

C3 Shellfish Aquaculture

C4 Aviation

C5 Carbon Capture and Storage

C6 Coast Protection and Flood Defence

C7 Fisheries: Annual Average Value of Landings (2001 to 2011) from Inshore and Offshore Areas, By Region

C8 Fisheries: Average Annual Value of Landings Based on Distribution of Effort ( VMS) for Over-15m Vessels for All Gear Types (2007-2011)

C9 Fisheries: Average Annual Earnings for under 15m Vessels For All Gear Types (2007 - 2011) Using Provisional ScotMap Data

C10 Fisheries: Foreign Vessels Distribution of Effort ( VMS) for Over - 15m Vessels for All Gear Types (2012)

C11 Energy Generation

C12 Military Activities

C13 Oil and Gas

C14 Ports and Harbours

C15 Power Interconnectors

C16 Recreational Boating

C17 Main Shipping Routes

C18 Ferry Routes

C19 Telecommunication Cables

C20 Tourism

C21 Water Sports