Publication - Research and analysis
UK welfare policy: impact on families with children
Report focusing on the financial impacts of UK welfare policy on families with children.
Technical Annex A – Assumptions in the TABOSH model and CPI assumptions
Table A1 – Assumptions for main parameters in TABOSH model
| Main Parameters | Counterfactual | Scenario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum Wage/National Living Wage (per hour) | £7.75 | £8.75 | |
| Personal Allowance in 2020/21 (annual) | £11,000 | £12,500 | |
| Weekly Benefit Cap (Single, no children) | £350 | £258 | |
| Weekly Benefit Cap (Couples, with children) | £500 | £385 | |
| UC Taper rate | 65% | 63% | |
| Work Allowance for Universal Credit (per month) | |||
| With Housing Costs | Single person, no children | £111 | £0 |
| Couple, no children | £111 | £0 | |
| Couple, with children | £222 | £192 | |
| Lone parent | £263 | £192 | |
| Without Housing Costs | Single person, no children | £111 | £0 |
| Couple, no children | £111 | £0 | |
| Couple, with children | £536 | £397 | |
| Lone parent | £734 | £397 | |
Table A2 – Consumer Price Index Assumptions
| Year | Rate |
|---|---|
| 2015/16 | -0.1% |
| 2016/17 | 1.0% |
| 2017/18 | 2.6% |
| 2018/19 | 2.2% |
| 2019/20 | 2.0% |
| 2020/21 | 2.0% |
(Source: Office for Budget Responsibility)
Contact
Email: Philip Duffy, Philip.Duffy@gov.scot
Phone: 0300 244 4000 – Central Enquiry Unit
The Scottish Government
St Andrew's House
Regent Road
Edinburgh
EH1 3DG