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Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 25 June 2021

This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the Covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.

This document is part of a collection


Footnotes

1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

2. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

3. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): daily data for Scotland

4. Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard

5. Source: Public Health Scotland

6. Public Health Scotland dashboard: COVID-19 Daily Dashboard - PHS COVID-19 | Tableau Public

7. NRS Scotland

8. Office for National Statistics

9. Office for National Statistics

10. Office for National Statistics: Prevalence of ongoing symptoms following coronavirus (COVID-19) infection in the UK - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)

11. Office for National Statistics: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey technical article: analysis of positivity r accination data - Office for National Statistics

12. Public Health Scotland: PHS COVID-19 Education report (shinyapps.io)

13. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c.1000 responses each week. Fieldwork took place on 15-16 June with a total sample size of 1,005 adults. 'Complete' or 'almost complete' compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 1-7 for the question: Thinking about ALL of the guidance from the Scottish Government on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions)...On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?

14. The difference between the Better and Worse scenarios: 'Worse' is based on a sustained increase in transmission rate at a level that could have caused the recent increase in cases. 'Better' is based on that increase being short-lived, and transmission rate drops to last week's levels after only one week..

15. Total sample size on 15-16 June was 1,005 adults. Sample size for those who have not yet received their first vaccine was 132 adults. 'Likely' to be vaccinated refers to respondents who rated themselves 8 to 10 on a scale of 0-10 for the question: How likely or unlikely are you to be vaccinated for COVID-19 when a vaccine becomes available to you? (Please select a number between 0 and 10, where 0 means 'extremely unlikely' and 10 means 'extremely likely')

16. Variants: distribution of cases data - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

17. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 variants (publishing.service.gov.uk)

18. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.351 - 27 January 2021 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

19. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern P.1 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

20. Variants: distribution of cases data - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

21. S1236_Eighty-nineth_SAGE.pdf (publishing.service.gov.uk)

22. Risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 variant: VOC-21APR-02 (B.1.617.2) (publishing.service.gov.uk)

23. S1284_SAGE_92_minutes.pdf (publishing.service.gov.uk)

24. SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation (publishing.service.gov.uk)

25. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 23 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

26. Vaccines highly effective against hospitalisation from Delta variant - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

27. SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Scotland: demographics, risk of hospital admission, and vaccine effectiveness - The Lancet

28. Risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 variant: VOC-21APR-02 (B.1.617.2) (publishing.service.gov.uk)

29. SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Scotland: demographics, risk of hospital admission, and vaccine effectiveness - The Lancet

Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot

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