Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 23 December 2021
This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the Covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.
This document is part of a collection
Footnotes
1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
2. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
3. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
4. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
(week on week comparison may be affected by data flow issue.)
5. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
6. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview
7. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report
8. Source: Public Health Scotland
10. SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation (publishing.service.gov.uk)
11. 2021-12-22-COVID19-Report-50.pdf (imperial.ac.uk)
12. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
13. Please note this chart combines data published by PHS up to 13 December (Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report) and additional ad hoc data releases from Scottish Government (Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)). There has been no published for data on 15 December. The next release of the PHS COVID-19 statistical report on 22 December 2021 will provide a full update to the time series.
14. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 & Winter Statistical Report
15. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report
16. UK case definitions. Confirmed case: COVID-19 variant of concern Omicron by sequencing or genotyping. Highly Probable: COVID 19 PCR positive, S Gene Target Failure (dropout) plus travel history from RSA, Botswana, Namibia, Nigeria, Eswatini, Lesotho, Zimbabwe, Angola, Zambia, Malawi, and Mozambique with specimen dates from 01 Nov 21 as confirmed by case interview (cases that are confirmed as another strain are excluded) Or COVID PCR/LFD positive contact of a confirmed case. Possible case under investigation: COVID 19 PCR positive plus S Gene Target Failure (dropout) and specimen dates from 01 Nov 21
17. The modelling in this report uses S-gene test data to 18 December only.
18. Data for 16-18 December are lagged due to specimen processing times and data will represent an undercount
19. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report
20. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-additional-data-and-information/
21. Reason for hospitalisation is not reported and can include people admitted to hospital for non-Covid related reasons. Admissions include people who have a positive PCR test within 14 days of admission or who were diagnosed with COVID-19 while in hospital.
22. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-additional-data-and-information/
23. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
24. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 & Winter Statistical Report
25. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
26. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report
27. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
28. ibid
29. Figures for test positivity rate in the last 7 days are available from 24 August 2020. Gaps in the line chart represent missing data for the periods 28 July 2021 to 2 August 2021 and 16 September 2021
30. Public Health Scotland dashboard: COVID-19 Daily Dashboard - PHS COVID-19 | Tableau Public.
31. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
32. ibid
33. ICU or combined ICU/HDU (with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days). Please note that only patients with length of stay 28 days or less in ICU were recorded until 20 January 2021. From 20 January 2021 ICU short and long stay includes both ICU or combined ICU/HDU with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days.
34. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report
36. ibid
37. ibid
38. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview
40. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)
41. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)
42. https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.47.2101021
43. Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview
44. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
45. ibid
46. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
47. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare
48. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
49. Office for National Statistics: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, antibody and vaccination data, UK - Office for National Statistics
50. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/prevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk/2december2021
51. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c. 1000 responses each week. Fieldwork took place on 14-15 December with a total sample size of 1022 adults. 'Complete' or 'almost complete' compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 1-7 for the question:Thinking about ALL of the guidance on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions).On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?
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