Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 18 March 2022
This report brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the Covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.
This document is part of a collection
Footnotes
1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
2. A credible interval gives an indication of the uncertainty of an estimate from data analysis based on a sample population. 95% credible intervals are calculated so that there is a 95% probability of the true value lying in the interval.
3. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
4. Using data to 14 March 2022.
5. No R value was published for the week beginning 27 December 2021 as publications were paused over the festive period. The most recent data point for R is dated 16 March 2022, reflecting the R value as at 1 March.
6. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
7. Using data to 14 March 2022.
8. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
9. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
10. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
11. This chart shows data from early 2022, at which point the Omicron variant represents almost all cases in Scotland.
12. Figure three was originally published on 17 March 2022, before updated CIS estimates were available for publication. See the following section for updated figures.
13. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey
14. A credible interval gives an indication of the uncertainty of an estimate from data analysis based on a sample population. 95% credible intervals are calculated so that there is a 95% probability of the true value lying in the interval.
15. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey
16. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): infection survey
17. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data
18. Scottish Government: Omicron variant
20. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey
21. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): infection survey
22. Public Health Scotland: COVID-19 statistical report - 16 March 2022 - COVID-19 statistical report
24. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data
25. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data
26. Please note that due to technical issues, no cases were reported on 12 and 13 March. This has led to an inflated number on 14 March. Additionally, cases reported on 16 March covers less than a 24-hour period due to the same technical error and is likely to be an undercount.
27. The specimen date is the date the sample was collected from the patient.
28. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
29. Before 5 January 2022, the case rate includes only positive laboratory confirmed PCR tests.
30. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
31. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
32. Before 5 January 2022, the case rate includes only a positive laboratory confirmed PCR tests.
33. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data
34. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): trends in daily data
35. Scottish Government: Omicron variant
36. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
37. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Statistical Report
38. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. Question 'Coronavirus tests typically take two forms – Rapid 'Lateral Flow or LFD' tests (sometimes called Antigen Tests), which give a test result in 30 minutes and are usually self-administered, or PCR Tests mostly conducted at official Test Sites (but also available as a 'Home Kit) – processed by a laboratory, with results available within 48 hours. In both tests, a swab of nose and/or throat is needed. Which of the following applies to you in relation to testing for Covid-19 in the past week (i.e. since 8 March)?'
39. Question -Thinking about the last lateral flow/antigen test you did in the past week…Which of the following best describes you in relation to that test? (Base: 533 - All who have taken a Lateral Flow/antigen test in the last week)
40. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic
41. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with circa 1000 responses each week fieldwork is conducted. YouGov apply weighting to the data to match the population profile to adjust for any over/under representations and to maximise consistency from wave to wave. Parameters used include age, gender, social class, region and level of education.
42. The sample is demographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with circa 3000 responses over two alternating panels. This is modelled to represent the Scottish population.
43. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): Trends in Daily Data
44. ICU includes combined ICU/HDU figures and both patients with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days. Please note that only patients with length of stay 28 days or less in ICU were recorded until 20 January 2021. From 20 January 2021 ICU short and long stay includes both ICU or combined ICU/HDU with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days.
45. Before 9 February 2022, patients were only included if they had a recent positive laboratory confirmed PCR test. Hospital and ICU occupancy includes reinfections from 7 March 2022 onwards.
46. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
47. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
48. Covid-19 related admissions have been identified as the following: A patient's first positive test for Covid-19 up to 14 days prior to admission to hospital, on the day of their admission or during their stay in hospital. If a patient's first positive test is after their date of discharge from hospital, they are not included in the analysis. An admission is defined as a period of stay in a single hospital. If the patient has been transferred to another hospital during treatment, each transfer will create a new admission record.
49. Before 9 January 2022, hospital admissions were only included if the patient had a recent positive laboratory confirmed PCR test. ICU admissions rely on PCR testing only. Hospital admissions data in the chart now includes reinfections and has been updated to include this methodology retrospectively to the start of the pandemic.
50. Public Health Scotland: PHS Covid-19 Education Report
51. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 statistical report - 2 March 2022
52. UK Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19) in the UK (accessed 16 March 2022)
53. UK Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19) in the UK (accessed 16 March 2022)
54. NRS Scotland: Deaths involving coronavirus (Covid-19) in Scotland
55. NRS Scotland: Deaths involving coronavirus (Covid-19) in Scotland
56. NRS Scotland: Deaths involving coronavirus (Covid-19) in Scotland
57. Deaths within 28 days of positive test.
58. UK Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19) in the UK (accessed 16 March 2022)
59. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard | Tableau Public
60. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 11 (publishing.service.gov.uk)
61. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 11 (publishing.service.gov.uk)
62. University of Edinburgh: Severity of Omicron variant of concern and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease
63. Imperial College Covid-19 response team: Report 50: Hospitalisation risk for Omicron cases in England
64. UK Health Security Agency: SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation
66. Public Health Scotland: Covid-19 Daily Dashboard
67. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
68. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (Covid-19): modelling the epidemic
Contact
There is a problem
Thanks for your feedback