Brexit - agricultural sectors: analysis of impacts

This research assesses the impacts of different potential outcomes beyond the end of the EU transition period on key Scottish agricultural sectors. The work combines trade-model and farm-level analysis supplemented by industry interviews and desk-based research.


11. References

1. See: https://projectblue.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/Imported%20Publication%20Docs/Dairy/AHDB%20Red-Meat%20Trade%20Barriers%20Draft%20Report_Updated_160719_V2.pdf

2. See: https://www.lmcni.com/site/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/LMC-Final-Report_31_Aug_17.pdf

3. For more information see: https://agmemod.eu/about-agmemod/model

4. For example, see: https://www.nfuonline.com/assets/61142

5. For example, see: https://edepot.wur.nl/441200

6. https://www.gov.scot/publications/total-income-farming-estimates-scotland-2016-18/pages/1/

7. See: https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DataPortal/trade.html

8. See: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/support-service-for-northern-ireland-trade-goes-live

9. AHDB (2017). Exploring the implications of Brexit for agriculture and horticulture in Scotland, Horizon Market Intelligence, November 2017. https://projectblue.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/Market%20Insight/Horizon_November2017.pdf

10. Shrestha, S., Thomson, S., Ahmadi, B.V., and Barnes, A. (2018). Assessing the Impacts of Alternative post-Brexit Trade and Agricultural Support Policy Scenarios on Scottish Farming Systems. ScotFarm Policy Report 2018. Policy, Innovation and Behavioural Change Research Team. https://www.sruc.ac.uk/downloads/file/3606/assessing_the_impacts_of_alternative_post-brexit_trade_and_agricultural_support_policy_scenarios_on_scottish_farming_systems

11. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52018PC0312&from=EN

12. The Independent (2018). WTO Members Object to Britain's Attempt to Fast-Track Deal. See https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-trade-deal-wto-liam-fox-no-deal-international-trade-a8603811.html

13. HM Government (2019). Northern Ireland Protocol. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/new-protocol-on-irelandnorthern-ireland-and-political-declaration

14. House of Lords (2017). Brexit: Trade in Goods. European Union Committee 16th Report of Session 2016–17. HL Paper 129. The House of Lords.

15. Nickell, S. and Saleheen, J. (2015). The Impact of Immigration On Occupational Wages: Evidence from Britain. SSRN Electronic Journal.

16. Andersons Midlands (J Pelham) (2020). Implications of Covid-19 for the Cost of Production of UK Fruit and Vegetable Growing. https://britishapplesandpears.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Andersons-Covid-19-Report-Fruit-Veg-Costs-of-Prodn.pdf

17. Scottish Government. The Genetically Modified Organisms (Deliberate Release etc) (Miscellaneous Amendments) (Scotland) Regulations 2016. https://www.gov.scot/publications/genetically-modified-organisms-regulations-2016-bria/

18. See: https://www.sruc.ac.uk/downloads/file/3716/malting_barley_trade_%E2%80%93_uk_and_scotland

19. https://www.gov.scot/publications/economic-report-on-scottish-agriculture-tables-2020-edition/

20. https://projectblue.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/MI%20Reports/BST/UK%20Supply%20and%20Demand/201920/201920%20-%20May%20update.pdf

21. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/agriculture-in-the-united-kingdom

22. https://ahdb.org.uk/news/balancing-scottish-milk-supplies

23. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52018PC0312&from=EN

24. See: https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-farm-business-income-annual-estimates-2018-19/

25. Based on information provided via: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:02001R2535-20181001&from=EN

26. See: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32019R2129&rid=7

27. See: https://www.lse.ac.uk/business-and-consultancy/consulting/assets/documents/vulnerabilities-of-supply-chains-post-brexit-final-report.pdf

28. See: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/migration-advisory-committee-reviews-shortage-occupation-lists

29. QMS (2017). Brexit Briefing Paper 2 – Migrant Labour and the Scottish Red Meat Sector. https://www.qmscotland.co.uk/sites/default/files/brexit_migrant_labour_discussion_paper_pdf_final.pdf

30. See: https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-farm-business-income-annual-estimates-2018-19/

31. See: Scottish Agricultural Census: June 2019 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

32. See: https://www.gov.uk/guidance/importing-and-exporting-plants-and-plant-products-from-1-january-2021

33. See: https://sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep.azureedge.net/published/2018/10/30/Migrant-labour-in-Scottish-agriculture/SB%2018-71.pdf

34. Accessible via: https://www.fas.scot/downloads/farm-management-handbook-2019-20/

35. Available via: https://abcbooks.co.uk/product/abc-budgeting-costing-book-2/

Contact

Email: richard.haw@gov.scot

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