No One Left Behind: evaluability assessment (national impact and economic evaluation)
This report presents the findings of an evaluability assessment for impact and economic evaluation of No One Left Behind at a national level. It considers feasibility, suitable methodological approaches and data and analytical requirements for future evaluations.
Footnotes
1 An updated version of the Magenta Book was published shortly before the finalisation of this report. The analysis was based on the earlier version but remains fully compliant with the updated one.
2 The RAG consisted of a wide range of No One Left Behind stakeholders, including the Scottish Government, LEPs, local authorities, and third sector organisations.
3 Including interviews with Scottish Government and TSI Scotland Network representatives
4 Alongside these core groups, LEPs are also required to set out how they will reach and support additional priority groups, including: (i) disabled people who do not require SES, (ii) minority ethnic groups, and (iii) those economically inactive.
5 It is worth noting that at the same time, there is a projected increase in non-employment benefit claims, due to increased awareness and application support.
6 Redistribution effects occur when funds are transferred from high-income to low-income households. This is in recognition of the diminishing marginal utility of income, meaning that an additional £1,000 is worth significantly more to low-income households compared to high-income ones.
7 This figure is based on 2012/2013 prices.
8 There may be some overlap between the education and earnings impacts, as increased education attainment impacts on future wages. To mitigate that risk, the education population should only include those that are not currently in employment, while the earnings population reflects increases in wages for those already employed.
9 This figure is based on 2012/2013 prices.
10 Both fiscal and societal benefits refer to No One Left Behind participants who were unemployed and entered employment, as well as those already employed who increased their earnings. For example, the increase in tax contributions comes from both those who have started working and paying taxes and those already employed but now earning more and thus paying additional taxes.