Labour Market Trends: June 2025
Trends in Labour Market indicators from HMRC PAYE RTI, Claimant count, and ONS Labour Force Survey data covering Scotland and the UK.
Part of
Claimant Count
This information is based on monthly estimates of the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits.
The Claimant Count includes Jobseeker’s Allowance Claimants and those claimants of Universal Credit who were claiming principally for the reason of being unemployed (those in the “searching for work” conditionality regime). Those claiming such benefits may be wholly unemployed and seeking work, or may be employed but with low income and/or low hours, that make them eligible for unemployment-related benefit support. As part of the response to the pandemic, the rules around who could claim Universal Credit had changed, meaning an increased proportion of those claiming may actually still be in some kind of work.
In May 2024, the Department for Work and Pensions rolled out an increase in the administrative earnings threshold for full work search conditionality. This change affected around 180,000 claimants in the UK over the summer of 2024, increasing the Claimant Count over that time. This policy change, along with two previous increases to the administrative earnings threshold in September 2022 and January 2023, represent discontinuities in the Claimant Count series.
In May 2025, the claimant count in Scotland was 106,900, an increase of 1,500 (1.4%) over the month but a decrease of 1,000 (-0.9%) over the year. The claimant count unemployment rate in May 2025 was 3.5%, compared with 4.5% for the UK as a whole.
Chart 5: The claimant count rate for Scotland and the UK showed a large increase at the start of the pandemic, reaching a peak in August 2020 before starting to decrease. The claimant count rates for Scotland and the UK were fairly constant between mid-2022 and 2023 although the gap has widened through 2024 and into 2025
Claimant Count rate, seasonally adjusted, Scotland and UK, May 2015 to May 2025
Source: Claimant count, ONS
Contact
For enquiries about this publication please contact:
Labour Market Statistics,
Office of the Chief Economic Adviser
Telephone: 0131 244 6773,
E-mail: LMStats@gov.scot
For general enquiries about Scottish Government statistics please contact:
Office of the Chief Statistician
E-mail: statistics.enquiries@gov.scot