Coronavirus (COVID-19) state of the epidemic 17 December 2021

Footnotes

1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

2. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

3. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

4. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
(week on week comparison may be affected by data flow issue.)

5. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

6. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

7. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

8. Source: Public Health Scotland

9. Public Health Scotland: PHS COVID-19 Education report (shinyapps.io)

10. 9 December 2021 Risk assessment for SARS-CoV-2 variant: Omicron VOC-21NOV-01 (B.1.1.529) (publishing.service.gov.uk)

11. Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

12. Please note this chart combines data published by PHS up to 13 December (Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report) and additional ad hoc data releases from Scottish Government (Coronavirus (COVID-19): additional data and information - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)). There has been no published for data on 15 December. The next release of the PHS COVID-19 statistical report on 22 December 2021 will provide a full update to the time series.

13. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 & Winter Statistical Report

14. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

15. UK case definitions. Confirmed case: COVID-19 variant of concern Omicron by sequencing or genotyping. Highly Probable: COVID 19 PCR positive, S Gene Target Failure (dropout) plus travel history from RSA, Botswana, Namibia, Nigeria, Eswatini, Lesotho, Zimbabwe, Angola, Zambia, Malawi, and Mozambique with specimen dates from 01 Nov 21 as confirmed by case interview (cases that are confirmed as another strain are excluded) Or COVID PCR/LFD positive contact of a confirmed case. Possible case under investigation: COVID 19 PCR positive plus S Gene Target Failure (dropout) and specimen dates from 01 Nov 21

16. The modelling in this report uses S-gene test data to 12 December only.

17. Data for 9-12 December are lagged due to specimen processing times and data will represent an undercount

18. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

19. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-additional-data-and-information/

20. Ibid.

21. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

22. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 & Winter Statistical Report

23. https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

24. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

25. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

26. ibid

27. Figures for test positivity rate in the last 7 days are available from 24 August 2020. Gaps in the line chart represent missing data for the periods 28 July 2021 to 2 August 2021 and 16 September 2021

28. Public Health Scotland dashboard: COVID-19 Daily Dashboard - PHS COVID-19 | Tableau Public.

29. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

30. ibid

31. ICU or combined ICU/HDU (with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days). Please note that only patients with length of stay 28 days or less in ICU were recorded until 20 January 2021. From 20 January 2021 ICU short and long stay includes both ICU or combined ICU/HDU with length of stay 28 days or less and with length of stay more than 28 days.

32. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 statistical report

33. NRS Scotland: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/general-publications/weekly-and-monthly-data-on-births-and-deaths/deaths-involving-coronavirus-covid-19-in-scotland

34. ibid

35. ibid

36. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

37. Public Health Scotland Covid-19 dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

38. Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

39. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

40. ibid

41. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

42. UK Government: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

43. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases

44. Office for National Statistics: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, antibody and vaccination data, UK - Office for National Statistics

45. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/prevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk/2december2021

46. Research and analysis overview: VEEP: Vaccine effectiveness table, 24 September 2021 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

47. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey Technical Article: Impact of vaccination on testing positive in the UK - Office for National Statistics

48. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

49. BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against Death from the Delta Variant | NEJM

50. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 46 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

51. JCVI statement, September 2021: COVID-19 booster vaccine programme for winter 2021 to 2022 - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

52. JCVI advice on the UK vaccine response to the Omicron variant - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

53. COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report - week 50 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

54. https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.47.2101021

55. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c. 1000 responses each week. Fieldwork took place on 14-15 December with a total sample size of 1022 adults. 'Complete' or 'almost complete' compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 1-7 for the question:Thinking about ALL of the guidance on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions).On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?