Publication - Corporate report

Commissioner for Fair Access annual report 2019: building on progress towards fair access

Published: 13 Jun 2019

Second annual report from Commissioner for Fair Access, in which he assesses the progress on fair access in Scotland.

50 page PDF

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50 page PDF

985.1 kB

Contents
Commissioner for Fair Access annual report 2019: building on progress towards fair access
Annex

50 page PDF

985.1 kB

Annex

Entrants

Table 1: Scottish domiciled undergraduate entrants to Higher Education

Source: Scottish Funding Council

Statistic 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Entrants from SIMD20 14,730 14,440 14,740 14,920 15,995
% SIMD20 17.2% 17.5% 17.7% 17.7% 18.9%

Table 2: Scottish domiciled undergraduate entrants to Higher Education at Scottish colleges

Source: Scottish Funding Council

Statistic 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Entrants from SIMD20 8,060 8,160 8,380 8,565 8,780
Total entrants with known SIMD 35,945 35,595 36,630 36,920 36,145
% SIMD20 22.4% 22.9% 22.9% 23.2% 24.3%

Table 3: Scottish domiciled first degree entrants to Scottish HEIs by mode of study

Source: HESA Student Data, CFA Analysis

Mode Statistic 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Full-time Entrants from SIMD20 3,850 3,965 4,015 3,975 4,650
Total entrants with known SIMD 28,205 28,540 28,620 28,785 29,720
% SIMD20 13.7% 13.9% 14.0% 13.8% 15.6%
Part-time Entrants from SIMD20 845 745 975 1,030 1,085
Total entrants with known SIMD 5,245 5,005 5,820 6,270 6,690
% SIMD20 16.1% 14.9% 16.8% 16.4% 16.2%

Note: Figures may not exactly match official published figures (see methodological note)

Table 4: Scottish domiciled full-time first degree entrants to Scottish HEIs reporting care experience, 2013-14 to 2017-18

Source: Scottish Funding Council

Statistic 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Care experienced entrants 145 170 160 170 255
Total entrants 28,285 28,640 28,770 28,885 29,880
% Care experienced 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8%

Table 5: Scottish domiciled full-time first degree entrants to Scottish HEIs by HEI

Source: Scottish Funding Council

Higher Education Institution Percentage SIMD20
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
The University of Aberdeen 4.3% 5.1% 6.0%
Abertay University 16.7% 15.1% 19.1%
University of Dundee 14.3% 15.5% 15.8%
The University of Edinburgh 5.6% 6.4% 8.1%
Edinburgh Napier University 10.7% 10.7% 10.9%
University of Glasgow 12.1% 12.3% 12.3%
Glasgow Caledonian University 22.6% 20.9% 23.5%
Glasgow School of Art 14.6% 21.1% 13.9%
Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh 9.8% 8.5% 11.2%
University of the Highlands and Islands 8.0% 7.3% 8.3%
Queen Margaret University Edinburgh 9.1% 9.1% 9.9%
Royal Conservatoire of Scotland 13.1% 13.3% 13.2%
Robert Gordon University 6.7% 6.4% 6.5%
Scotland's Rural College 8.3% 7.5% 10.4%
University of St Andrews 5.1% 5.5% 7.5%
The University of Stirling 12.3% 12.0% 15.9%
The University of Strathclyde 13.7% 14.5% 16.6%
University of the West of Scotland 27.5% 27.5% 29.4%

Retention

Table 6: Scottish domiciled full-time first degree entrants returning to study in year 2 Source: Scottish Funding Council

Statistic 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Overall retention rate 91.7% 91.4% 91.3% 91.8% 92.5%
SIMD Q1 retention rate 87.8% 88.2% 87.1% 87.4% 89.4%
Care-experienced retention rate - 85.5% 85.2% 87.0% 87.2%

Graduate outcomes (destinations) are not included since publication of the HESA Destination of Leavers of Higher Education (DLHE) survey has ceased (the final published statistics on 2016/17 leavers) following a major review of these statistics. Data for the new Graduate Outcomes Survey is due to be published in Spring 2020 and will not be comparable with previous published figures: graduates will be surveyed 15 months after finishing their studies, compared to the 6 month period previously used in the DLHE.

Applicants, offers and acceptances

Table 7: Scottish domiciled applicants (18 year-olds) to Scottish HEIs by applicant cycle

Source: UCAS Sex, area background and ethnic group undergraduate reports (2018; 2016), CFA Analysis

Statistic SIMD quintile 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
June deadline applicants Q1 1,740 1,995 1,935 2,025 1,995 1,915
Q2 2,515 2,605 2,670 2,665 2,565 2,450
Q3 3,585 3,650 3,735 3,515 3,445 3,305
Q4 4,680 4,720 4,750 4,705 4,545 4,370
Q5 6,335 6,230 6,280 6,160 6,145 5,960
Offers Q1 4,770 5,700 5,280 5,350 6,025 6,070
Q2 6,810 7,770 7,515 7,475 7,605 7,635
Q3 9,100 9,680 9,590 8,795 8,880 8,590
Q4 12,135 12,805 12,700 12,125 11,855 11,720
Q5 16,965 17,595 17,470 16,730 16,965 16,535
Offer Rate Q1 62.2% 63.6% 61.2% 58.4% 66.7% 70.4%
Q2 61.5% 66.6% 62.8% 61.9% 65.9% 69.0%
Q3 58.2% 60.0% 57.5% 56.5% 58.4% 58.5%
Q4 59.0% 61.6% 60.4% 58.3% 58.7% 60.2%
Q5 61.7% 64.0% 63.1% 61.6% 62.6% 62.6%
June deadline acceptances Q1 1,115 1,215 1,115 1,215 1,290 1,370
Q2 1,660 1,735 1,765 1,800 1,815 1,815
Q3 2,310 2,405 2,395 2,355 2,315 2,325
Q4 3,170 3,210 3,240 3,195 3,190 3,200
Q5 4,470 4,380 4,390 4,415 4,485 4,470
Acceptance rate Q1 64.1% 60.9% 57.6% 60.0% 64.7% 71.5%
Q2 66.0% 66.6% 66.1% 67.5% 70.8% 74.1%
Q3 64.4% 65.9% 64.1% 67.0% 67.2% 70.3%
Q4 67.7% 68.0% 68.2% 67.9% 70.2% 73.2%
Q5 70.6% 70.3% 69.9% 71.7% 73.0% 75.0%
Acceptances Q1 1,235 1,305 1,215 1,315 1,405 1,450
Q2 1,835 1,845 1,935 1,960 1,955 1,965
Q3 2,585 2,530 2,685 2,610 2,540 2,525
Q4 3,470 3,380 3,560 3,555 3,505 3,515
Q5 4,760 4,605 4,685 4,705 4,800 4,735
Entry rate Q1 9.4% 9.9% 9.5% 10.6% 12.1% 12.7%
Q2 15.7% 15.9% 17.0% 17.6% 18.3% 18.6%
Q3 21.7% 21.4% 23.1% 23.1% 23.4% 24.1%
Q4 28.0% 27.3% 29.1% 29.5% 30.0% 31.3%
Q5 38.2% 37.2% 38.4% 39.4% 38.4% 39.7%

Note: Figures may not exactly match official published figures (see methodological note)

Table 8: Scottish domiciled applicants (all ages) to Scottish HEIs by applicant cycle

Source: UCAS Sex, area background and ethnic group undergraduate reports (2018; 2016), CFA Analysis

Statistic SIMD quintile 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
June deadline applicants Q1 6,190 6,600 7,240 7,460 7,515 7,495
Q2 6,740 7,050 7,930 8,015 7,730 7,865
Q3 8,185 8,410 9,265 9,360 9,020 8,975
Q4 9,375 9,515 10,545 10,765 10,765 10,545
Q5 11,530 11,470 12,575 12,755 12,935 12,920
Offer rate Q1 51.3% 50.4% 46.8% 46.5% 51.0% 54.0%
Q2 51.8% 53.7% 49.6% 49.5% 52.5% 53.8%
Q3 50.5% 51.9% 48.1% 46.9% 49.1% 50.0%
Q4 52.6% 54.8% 51.4% 50.1% 50.2% 52.1%
Q5 55.2% 56.9% 54.1% 53.3% 54.1% 54.7%
June deadline acceptances Q1 3,610 3,850 4,065 4,205 4,625 4,860
Q2 4,015 4,305 4,750 4,850 5,000 5,090
Q3 4,880 5,160 5,510 5,705 5,585 5,705
Q4 5,920 6,030 6,580 6,655 6,850 6,995
Q5 7,475 7,520 8,075 8,305 8,665 8,800
Acceptance rate Q1 58.3% 58.3% 56.1% 56.4% 61.5% 64.8%
Q2 59.6% 61.1% 59.9% 60.5% 64.7% 64.7%
Q3 59.6% 61.4% 59.5% 61.0% 61.9% 63.6%
Q4 63.1% 63.4% 62.4% 61.8% 63.6% 66.3%
Q5 64.8% 65.6% 64.2% 65.1% 67.0% 68.1%

Note: Figures may not exactly match official published figures (see methodological note)

School attainment

Attainment statistics below focus on SCQF levels 6 and 7, since these are typically the level of qualification required to enter most undergraduate courses at Scottish institutions.

Table 9: Percentage of school leavers by total qualifications achieved, by SIMD quintile

Source: Attainment and Leavers Destinations 2017/18, Scottish Government

Total qualifications achieved SIMD quintile Percentage of leavers
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
1 or more passes at SCQF Level 6 or better Q1 34.9 38.5 41.2 42.7 43.0 44.4
Q2 45.0 49.1 50.6 52.2 52.4 52.8
Q3 55.8 57.2 60.3 62.2 62.0 62.5
Q4 65.7 66.9 69.2 71.1 70.5 70.5
Q5 77.3 79.1 80.3 81.2 80.6 81.8
All 55.8 58.1 60.2 61.7 61.2 62.2
1 or more passes at SCQF Level 7 or better Q1 6.8 7.5 7.8 8.1 8.6 9.1
Q2 10.6 12.0 11.7 12.5 12.7 13.4
Q3 16.0 17.2 17.6 17.9 18.8 19.4
Q4 22.6 22.5 23.5 23.9 24.1 24.9
Q5 32.2 32.4 33.7 33.9 33.8 34.7
All 17.6 18.3 18.8 19.1 19.3 20.2

Methodological note

Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD)

The Commission on Widening Access defined entrants from deprived backgrounds as entrants from the bottom 20% of areas according to the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (i.e. 'SIMD 20', 'SIMD quintile 1' or 'SIMD Q1' areas). This analysis considers SIMD to define those from deprived areas. SIMD data has been updated at various points in time, most recently 2009, 2012 and 2016. 2018 published data is used for cycles 2017 and 2018 throughout. 2016 published data is used for cycles 2013-2016. This ensures the version of SIMD used for the purposes of this analysis is consistent with the version that was available to institutions at the start of the application cycle and enables comparison with the discussion paper 'UCAS applications, offers and acceptances'. However, this means that figures used throughout this analysis may not exactly match published figures, due to applying a different version of SIMD data, or in the way the data is applied to student records. Outlined below is the difference in methodology (where appropriate) to the published statistics, by data provider.

Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS)

When a new version of SIMD is published, UCAS has historically applied this version to latest statistics, as well as statistics relating to previous years in time-series in the current publication. As a result of this, UCAS applied a SIMD version that was not available to institutions at the time of application for statistics referring to the 2016 cycle (and previous cycles) published in the 2018 cycle data. For this reason, we collate UCAS data for 2017 and 2018 cycles from the 2018 cycle data (using SIMD 2016), and data for previous years from the 2016 cycle data (using SIMD 2012). This also coheres with the data published for cycles up to and including 2016 in the 'UCAS applications, offers and acceptances' discussion paper.

Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA)

Beginning January 2019, HESA have published high-level figures on the number of full-time first degree entrants to Scottish HEIs from SIMD 20 areas across the last 5 years. The methodology used in the analysis in this report adheres to the HESA methodology from 2016/17 academic year onwards, but uses a different postcode lookup file to determine SIMD quintiles for previous years, resulting in slightly different numbers for earlier years.

Scottish Funding Council (SFC)

Figures published by SFC differ in the methodology used in this analysis for various reasons: SFC figures use a population-weighted SIMD, rather than the standard SIMD methodology adopted by the Scottish Government; SFC use different postcode lookup files and treats postcode geography slightly differently to this analysis; this analysis uses the standard population of students as defined by HESA, whereas SFC has a different definition for the student population.

Age

For Scottish domiciled applicants, UCAS records age as the age of the applicant on February 28th in the year after application. For example, in the 2016 applicant cycle, where the majority of those placed will enter university in the academic year 2016/17, an applicant's age at 28th February 2017 is recorded.


Contact

Email: CommissionerForFairAccess@gov.scot