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Tackling child poverty - progress report 2024-2025: annex C - decomposition analysis of the child poverty statistics

Annex C provides analysis of the Scottish child poverty statistics to understand what has driven changes in the relative child poverty rate since the Child Poverty (Scotland) Act 2017 came into force. Particularly through the lens of key characteristics such as number of children in the family.


Appendix A – Descriptive Data Tables

Table A1. Decomposition of change in relative child poverty AHC by tenure type amongst households with children
Characteristic subgroups Percentage of children by group 2015-18 Percentage of children by group 2021-24 Poverty rate within group 2015-18 Poverty rate within group 2021-24
Owned/mortgage 60% 61% 11% 10%
Social rented sector 24% 27% 45% 45%
Private rent housing 15% 13% 44% 42%
Total of all households with children 100% 100% 24% 23%

Note: Tenure is estimated by household rather than benefit unit. Percentages may not sum due to rounding.

Source: Author’s calculations based on the Households below average income (HBAI) data from the Family Resources Survey (FRS) in various years.

Table A2. Decomposition of change in relative child poverty BHC by tenure type amongst households with children
Characteristic subgroups Percentage of children by group 2015-18 Percentage of children by group 2021-24 Poverty rate within group 2015-18 Poverty rate within group 2021-24
Owned/mortgage 60% 61% 12% 10%
Social rented sector 24% 27% 37% 42%
Private rent housing 15% 13% 27% 34%
Total of all households with children 100% 100% 20% 22%

Note: Tenure is estimated by household rather than benefit unit. Percentages may not sum due to rounding.

Source: Author’s calculations based on the Households below average income (HBAI) data from the Family Resources Survey (FRS) in various years.

Table A3. Decomposition of change in relative child poverty AHC by family type
Characteristic subgroups Percentage of children by group 2015-18 Percentage of children by group 2021-24 Poverty rate within group 2015-18 Poverty rate within group 2021-24
Couple with children 77% 78% 20% 20%
Single with children 23% 22% 40% 36%
Total of all families with children 100% 100% 24% 23%

Note: Family type is estimated by benefit unit rather than household. Percentages may not sum due to rounding.

Source: Author’s calculations based on the Households below average income (HBAI) data from the Family Resources Survey (FRS) in various years.

Table A4. Decomposition of change in relative child poverty AHC by working status amongst families with children
Characteristic subgroups Percentage of children by group 2015-18 Percentage of children by group 2021-24 Poverty rate within group 2015-18 Poverty rate within group 2021-24
Full-time work 37% 41% 12% 12%
Mixed work 49% 47% 23% 25%
None working 14% 12% 61% 55%
Total of all families with children 100% 100% 24% 23%

Note: Working status is estimated by benefit unit rather than household. Percentages may not sum due to rounding. Full-time work refers to families where all adults are in full-time work; mixed work refers to families where not all adults are in full-time work, but at least one adult is working; none working refers to families where no adult is working.

Source: Author’s calculations based on the Households below average income (HBAI) data from the Family Resources Survey (FRS) in various years.

Table A5. Decomposition of change in relative child poverty AHC by number of children in family
Characteristic subgroups Percentage of children by group 2015-18 Percentage of children by group 2021-24 Poverty rate within group 2015-18 Poverty rate within group 2021-24
1 child 33% 29% 25% 22%
2 children 43% 45% 20% 14%
3 or more children 24% 27% 32% 41%
Total of all families with children 100% 100% 24% 23%

Note: Number of children is estimated by benefit unit rather than household. Percentages may not sum due to rounding.

Source: Author’s calculations based on the Households below average income (HBAI) data from the Family Resources Survey (FRS) in various years.

Contact

Email: TCPU@gov.scot

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