Tackling child poverty pathfinders: evaluability assessment

Appendix 6 – Initial Proxy Bank for the economic assessment

This Appendix outlines a suggested list of financial proxies to use in a cost benefit or social return on investment analysis for the economic evaluation. Financial proxies are used to represent the monetary value associated with the impacts of an intervention where an exact financial measure is not available. When the evaluators are conducting the economic assessment they will be able to draw from this list, as well as supplement it with additional or alternative proxies, as appropriate.

Impact: DWP: Reduced benefits payments

Proxy measure(s): Fiscal benefit of fewer JSA payments

Proxy value: £19,153

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model^[204]

Impact: Parents: Increased income from employment

Proxy measure(s): Increased income

Proxy value: £10,504

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced debt

Proxy value: £13,000

Source: CAB^[205]

Impact: Parents: Improved skills and qualifications

Proxy measure(s): Increase in earnings amongst residents achieving Level 2 NVQ

Proxy value: £443

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Increase in earnings amongst residents achieving Level 3 NVQ progressing from Level 2

Proxy value: £921

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Achieving 5 good National 5 Qualifications

Proxy value: For Males - £115,851, For Females - £118,714

Source: The economic value of key intermediate qualifications: estimating the returns and lifetime productivity gains to GCSEs, A levels and apprenticeships, 2014

Proxy measure(s): Achieving 4 good Higher Qualifications

Proxy value: For Males - £101,309, For Females - £85,643

Source: The economic value of key intermediate qualifications: estimating the returns and lifetime productivity gains to GCSEs, A levels and apprenticeships, 2014

Proxy measure(s): Employment training

Proxy value: £807

Source: HACT^[206]

Impact: Children: Better supported in education

Proxy measure(s): Cost of School Packed Lunch for one week

Proxy value: £10

Source: Evaluation Universal Infant Free School Meals (UIFSM) policy, 2018^[207]

Impact: Children: Better able to realise potential

Proxy measure(s): Avoidance of longer term, post-school costs (e.g. around economic inactivity, health, social costs associated with being NEET) that are associated with low levels of literacy (per year)

Proxy value: £28,286

Source: The long term costs of literacy difficulties, 2009, Every Child a Chance Trust

Impact: Families: Easier navigation through the system

Proxy measure(s): Increase in income:

• additional interests
• rates and charges
• that people on low
• incomes pay, Economic Benefit

Proxy value: £500

Source: Financial Inclusion Centre^[208]

Impact: Education services: Less resource demand

Proxy measure(s): Persistent truancy cost per year

Proxy value: £1,965

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Permanent Exclusion from School

Proxy value: £12,007

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Impact: NHS: Reduced patient numbers

Proxy measure(s): Reduced health cost of interventions

Proxy value: £4,671

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced cost of unnecessary A&E attendance

Proxy value: £134

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced cost of an average admission to hospital (elective and non-elective)

Proxy value: £2,941

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced NHS costs from getting a person into employment

Proxy value: £508

Source: The Department for Work and Pensions Social Cost Benefit Analysis framework^[209]

Impact: Police: Reduction in antisocial behaviour

Proxy measure(s): Reduced incident requiring no further action

Proxy value: £153

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced incidents requiring further action

Proxy value: £618

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Estimated annual cost to society of child or young person with a conduct disorder

Proxy value: £3,700

Source: A Social Return on Investment (SROI)

Evaluation of the Houghton Project^[210]

Impact: Police: Reduction in crime

Proxy measure(s): Reduced police, other criminal justice costs, health costs per actual crime

Proxy value: £3,497

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Cost of property crime

Proxy value: £444-£5,170 (depending on age and gender)

Source: The Department for Work and Pensions Social Cost Benefit Analysis framework

Impact: Housing support: Fewer arrears and better tenants

Proxy measure(s): Reduced costs of legal proceedings and repair of property

Proxy value: £6,680

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced costs of temporary housing etc.

Proxy value: £2,501

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Impact: Education services: Less resource demand

Proxy measure(s): Reduced cost of safeguarding

Proxy value: £65,905

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Cost of 2 teaching assistants, one day weekly

Proxy value: £5,280

Source: A Social Return on Investment (SROI)

Evaluation of the Houghton Project

Proxy measure(s): Annual average childcare expenditure

Proxy value: £694-£477 (depending on parent type)

Source: The Department for Work and Pensions Social Cost Benefit Analysis framework

Impact: Children: Better able to realise potential / better supported in education

Proxy measure(s): Reduced persistent truancy (<85% attendance at school)

Proxy value: £2,351

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Reduced exclusion from school

Proxy value: £9,748

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Impact: Parents / children / families: Improved wellbeing

Proxy measure(s): Increased wellbeing of the population

Proxy value: £13,000

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Can rely on family

Proxy value: £6,784

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Member of social group

Proxy value: £1,850

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Good overall health

Proxy value: £20,141

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Feel in control of life

Proxy value: £12,470

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Positive functioning (autonomy, control, aspirations)

Proxy value: £3,500

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): High confidence (adult)

Proxy value: £13,080

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Improvements in confidence (youth)

Proxy value: £9,283

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Increased confidence / self-esteem

Proxy value: £3,500

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Increased confidence

Proxy value: £13,080

Source: Big Lottery Fund^[211]

Proxy measure(s): Average cost of service provision for adults suffering from depression and/or anxiety disorders, per person per year

Proxy value: £4,741

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Proxy measure(s): Average cost of service provision for children/adolescents suffering from mental health disorders, per person per year

Proxy value: £284

Source: Greater Manchester Combined Authority CBA model

Impact: Local areas: Fewer neighbourhood problems

Proxy measure(s): Good neighbourhood

Proxy value: £1,747

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Feel belonging to neighbourhood

Proxy value: £3,753

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Talks to neighbours regularly

Proxy value: £3,848

Source: HACT

Proxy measure(s): Able to obtain advice locally

Proxy value: £2,457

Source: HACT

Impact: Cost of a food parcel

Proxy measure(s): Average cost of Food parcel (1 week supply)

Proxy value: £17.66

Source: Furey, Sinead & Caraher, Martin. (2018). The differential cost of an emergency food parcel and a consensually acceptable basket of healthy food. Primary Health Care Open Access. 08. 10.4172/2167-1079-C6-031.