GDP Monthly Estimate: July 2026

In July the low level sectors with the largest positive contribution to three-month GDP growth were Professional, Scientific & Technical Services and Administrative & Support Services, which both contributed around 0.2 percentage points towards overall growth. The largest negative contributors were Other Services and Education, which both contributed around -0.1 percentage points towards three-month GDP growth.

In the three months to July 2026, compared to the three months to April 2026, output in the Production sector is estimated to have grown by 0.1%, while the Services sector is estimated to have grown by 0.8%. Construction sector output contracted by 0.5% in the three months to July.

As reported by the Office for National Statistics, there were some common themes that were anecdotally reported, across the UK, to have played a part in performance across different industries in July 2026, as part of the monthly business surveys, although it is difficult to quantify their exact impact.

The FIFA Football World Cup, which started on 11 June 2026 and concluded on 19 July 2026, was again cited by some businesses across a range of industries as a reason for their increase in turnover in July 2026. Positive impacts on individual businesses do not always correspond with the movement across the overall industry. Positive comments were cited in manufacture of alcohol, wholesale, pubs and clubs, and advertising. There were also some negative impacting comments about the World Cup from restaurants.

Figure 2:  Professional, Scientific & Technical Services and Administrative & Support Services contributed 0.2 percentage points respectively towards the three-month GDP growth of 0.7%

Industry contribution to three-month GDP growth, July 2026