GDP Quarterly National Accounts: 2025 Quarter 2 (April to June)

Key Points

• In 2025 Quarter 2 (April to June), Scotland’s onshore GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.2% in real terms, unrevised from the first estimate published on 27 August. Compared to the same quarter last year, GDP has grown by 1.0%.
• In the latest quarter, output grew by 0.5% in the services sector, grew by 1.0% in the construction sector, and fell by 1.9% in the production sector.
• In the services sector there was growth in eight of the fourteen subsectors. The largest positive contributions to growth were seen in professional, scientific and technical services, which grew by 2.6% in the quarter, and accommodation and food services, which grew by 3.7%. The largest negative contribution in services was seen in information and communication services, which fell by 2.4%.
• In the production sector there was growth in one of the four subsectors. This was an increase of 1.9% in mining and quarrying. The largest negative contribution to growth in the production sector was from manufacturing, which fell by 2.4%.
• Real GDP per head is estimated to have had zero growth in the latest quarter, and has grown by 0.4% compared to the same quarter last year.
• The household saving ratio, which represents the proportion of disposable income which is available for saving or paying off debt, is estimated at 8.3% in the latest quarter, down from 8.7% at the same point last year.
• Estimates in this release have been open for revision in all quarters from 2023 Quarter 1 (January to March) onwards.

Introduction

This publication includes updated estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) for Scotland, along with a range of additional statistics which are used for economic forecasting and modelling.

These statistics continue to be affected by the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on both data collection and on the structure of the economy itself. As a result, estimates for the years 2020 to 2022, in particular, are subject to more uncertainty than for other years and may continue to be more prone to revision over time.

International comparisons, and comparisons within the UK, should be made with appropriate caution for the levels of uncertainty and variations in methods in use by different statistical institutes around the world. The estimates of GDP from 2020 onwards are still continuing to evolve as more data becomes available, and it is likely that these results, including comparative positions relative to pre-pandemic levels, will continue to change in the coming years.

An Accredited Official Statistics Publication for Scotland 

These statistics are accredited official statistics. The Office for Statistics Regulation has independently reviewed and accredited these statistics as complying with the standards of trustworthiness, quality, and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics.

Quarterly National Accounts Scotland was accredited in January 2014, as detailed in Assessment Report 272.

Accredited official statistics are called National Statistics in the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007.

Scottish Government statistics are regulated by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR). OSR sets the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics that all producers of official statistics should adhere to.