Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 61)

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Published:
22 Jul 2021
Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 61)

This paper provides modelling outputs on the current epidemic in Scotland as a whole, based on a range of methods. Results of Scottish Government modelling, as well as those of the modelling groups which feed into the SAGE consensus, are provided in these research findings. It includes an estimate of Covid-19 levels as given by wastewater, and a short term forecast of the number of hospitalisation and infections. It also gives an estimate of the number of people likely to experience long Covid symptoms.