Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 27)

Published: 19 Nov 2020
Directorate:
Constitution and Cabinet Directorate
Part of:
Coronavirus in Scotland, Research
ISBN:
9781800043350

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Published:
19 Nov 2020
Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no. 27)

This paper provides modelling outputs on the current epidemic in Scotland as a whole, based on a range of methods. Results of Scottish Government modelling, as well as those of the modelling groups which feed into the SAGE consensus, are provided in these research findings. A short term forecast of the number of cases in the next two weeks is also included.