Publication - Research and analysis
Consequences, risk factors, and geography of young people not in education, employment or training (NEET)
Scottish Longitudinal NEET Study
Appendix 6 Odds ratio and Confidence Intervals (CI) of being NEET in 2011 from logistic regression of 2001 Census, School Census factors and local area NEET rate adjusted for age for those with school stage S4 data
| Males | Odds ratio | 95% CI | Number |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 Census factors | |||
| Tenure | |||
| Owner occupied | 1.0 | 2,492 | |
| Social renting | 1.44*** | (1.12, 1.83) | 926 |
| Private renting | 0.81 | (0.47, 1.39) | 161 |
| No of siblings | |||
| 0 | 1.0 | 643 | |
| 1 | 1.18 | (0.87, 1.60) | 1,815 |
| 2 | 1.33 | (0.95, 1.86) | 856 |
| >=3 | 1.71** | (1.12, 2.62) | 265 |
| School Census factors | |||
| Proportion of time absent from school | |||
| <5% | 1.0 | 1,282 | |
| >=5% & <10% | 1.29 | (0.90, 1.86) | 1,149 |
| >=10% & <20% | 2.39**** | (1.68, 3.42) | 749 |
| >=20% | 3.99**** | (2.70, 5.88) | 399 |
| Number of exclusions | |||
| 0 | 1.0 | -- | 3,103 |
| 1 | 2.17**** | (1.54, 3.04) | 254 |
| 2-3 | 2.02*** | (1.26, 3.23) | 105 |
| 4 or more | 3.59**** | (2.32, 5.55) | 117 |
| Number of passes at SCQF level 5 or higher obtained by school stage S4 | |||
| >=6 | 1.0 | -- | 730 |
| 3 -5 | 2.77*** | (1.33, 5.75) | 640 |
| 1-2 | 4.93**** | (2.53, 9.62) | 1,135 |
| 0 | 9.34**** | (4.79, 18.23) | 1,074 |
| 2011 Census factors | |||
| Local NEET rate | |||
| <7.5% | 1.0 | 762 | |
| >=7.5% & <13% >=13% & <19% >=19% |
1.76*** 1.92*** 1.84*** |
(1.16, 2.68) (1.26, 2.92) (1.21, 2.80) |
1,035 909 873 |
N=3, 579, *P<0.05, **P<0.01, ***P<0.001, Source: SLS
| Females | Odds ratio | 95% CI | Number |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 Census factors | |||
| Number of adults employed in childhood home | |||
| >1 | 1.0 | 1,773 | |
| 1 0 |
1.41** 1.62** |
(1.01, 1.96) (1.12, 2.32) |
1,053 487 |
| School Census factors | |||
| Attend special school | |||
| No | 1.0 | 3,371 | |
| Yes | 2.50** | (1.04, 6.03) | 32 |
| Proportion of time absent from school | |||
| <5% | 1.0 | 1,045 | |
| >=5% & <10% | 2.09** | (1.17, 3.73) | 1,122 |
| >=10% & <20% | 3.66**** | (2.09, 6.40) | 829 |
| >=20% | 9.13**** | (5.12, 16.26) | 408 |
| Number of exclusions | |||
| 0 | 1.0 | -- | 3,243 |
| 1 | 0.95 | (0.49, 1.85) | 88 |
| 2-3 | 1.79*** | (0.78, 4.07) | 38 |
| 4 or more | 2.29*** | (1.01, 5.15) | 35 |
| Number of passes at SCQF level 5 or higher obtained by school stage S4 | |||
| >=6 | 1.0 | -- | 898 |
| 3 -5 | 2.99*** | (1.39, 6.43) | 757 |
| 1-2 | 3.30*** | (1.59, 6.86) | 915 |
| 0 | 7.03**** | (3.40, 14.54) | 834 |
| Vital event factor | |||
| Teenage birth before 2010 | |||
| No | 1.0 | 3,352 | |
| Yes | 10.36**** | (4.90, 21.90) | 52 |
| 2011 Census factor | |||
| Local NEET rate | |||
| <7.5% | 1.0 | 736 | |
| >=7.5% & <13% >=13% & <19% >=19% |
1.33 1.73** 1.98*** |
(0.79, 2.23) (1.04, 2.89) (1.21, 3.24) |
964 793 911 |
N=3, 313, **P<0.05, ***P<0.01, ****P<0.001, Source: SLS
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