Social security agency: central functions location analysis
Report setting out evidence base for making a decision on where the social security agency’s centrally based functions will be located.
Annex B – Phase 2 analysis results
Table B1 – Full hierarchy of OBC criteria, location factors, indicators and sub-indicators
| Criterion |
Indicator |
Sub-indicator |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implement 25% |
Access to labour force |
20% |
Population aged 16-64 in 2016* |
2.2% |
| Working- age, economically active population* |
2.2% |
|||
| ILO Unemployment* |
2.2% |
|||
| Short-term unemployment level* |
2.2% |
|||
| Population density (per hectare) |
6.7% |
|||
| Employment in relevant occupations * ** |
2.2% |
|||
| Employment in relevant sectors * ** |
2.2% |
|||
| Skills and education |
3% |
% School Leaver in Positive Destinations |
0.8% |
|
| % of 16-64 year olds with SCQF 5 or higher |
2.3% |
|||
| Skill shortages |
2% |
Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy |
0.4% |
|
| Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy that is hard to fill |
0.4% |
|||
| Vacancies: Have a skills shortage vacancy |
0.4% |
|||
| Skills Gaps: Administrative/clerical staff |
0.4% |
|||
| Skills Gaps: Sales & customer services staff |
0.4% |
|||
| Economy & Environment 25% |
Contribution to economy |
5% |
GVA per worker |
2.5% |
| GVA per working age person |
2.5% |
|||
| Recent performance |
5% |
Change in unemployment rate (2015 to 2016) |
1.7% |
|
| Change in number of employees (2015 to 2016) |
1.7% |
|||
| GVA growth between 2004 and 2014 |
1.7% |
|||
| Employment opportunities |
5% |
Employment Rate |
1.0% |
|
| Works in home area |
1.0% |
|||
| Employment - workplace based as % of 16-64 popn |
1.0% |
|||
| Employment Expansion Demand in relevant occupations** |
1.0% |
|||
| Employment Projections (change between 2015 and 2024) |
1.0% |
|||
| Business creation |
5% |
Number of businesses (per 10,000 popn) |
2.0% |
|
| Businesses with 100+ employees as % of all businesses |
1.0% |
|||
| Business Birth Rate (per 10,000 popn) |
1.0% |
|||
| Business Survival Rate (per 10,000 popn) |
1.0% |
|||
| Economic diversity |
5% |
% employed in relevant sectors*** |
2.0% |
|
| GVA in relevant sectors*** as % of total GVA |
1.5% |
|||
| Public Sector employees as % of total |
1.5% |
|||
| Equality & Poverty 25% |
SIMD |
15% |
SIMD 20% most deprived |
3.8% |
| SIMD 20% least deprived |
3.8% |
|||
| SIMD Income Domain |
3.8% |
|||
| SIMD Employment Domain |
3.8% |
|||
| Population Trends |
10% |
Total Population change 2005-15 |
5.0% |
|
| Net Migration 10 Year Total as % of population |
5.0% |
|||
| Dignity & Respect 25% |
Total caseload |
15% |
DLA, PIP and AA caseload |
10.0% |
| Carer's Allowance caseload |
2.5% |
|||
| Tax Credits caseload |
2.5% |
|||
| Claimant concentrations |
10% |
DLA, PIP and AA (% of total popn) |
5.0% |
|
| Carer's Allowance (% of total popn) |
2.5% |
|||
| Tax Credits (% of total popn) |
2.5% |
|||
* Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations
** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence
*** Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)
Table B2 – Overall score (0 – 10) for all sub-indicators
* Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations
** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence
*** Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)
Table B3 – Raw data for all sub-indicators
| Glasgow City | Dundee City | North Lanarkshire | Edinburgh, City of | North Ayrshire | Renfrewshire | Inverclyde | West Dunbartonshire | South Lanarkshire | Aberdeen City | East Ayrshire | Fife | Falkirk | Aberdeenshire | West Lothian | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ability to Recruit | Access to labour force within LA | Population aged 16-64 in 2016* | 520,980 | 135,330 | 314,020 | 424,890 | 139,760 | 191,960 | 101,320 | 129,340 | 267,090 | 182,840 | 116,160 | 286,110 | 220,880 | 182,820 | 205,940 | |
| Working- age, economically active population* | 379,200 | 98,760 | 241,450 | 317,870 | 101,750 | 147,330 | 74,760 | 96,220 | 207,870 | 141,280 | 85,540 | 216,110 | 169,750 | 150,480 | 159,940 | |||
| ILO Unemployment* | 30,320 | 8,250 | 17,050 | 17,900 | 9,690 | 9,690 | 6,110 | 7,100 | 11,430 | 5,990 | 6,290 | 15,780 | 11,220 | 3,830 | 10,350 | |||
| Short-term unemployment level* | 7,500 | 1,827 | 4,047 | 3,850 | 2,265 | 2,740 | 1,972 | 1,983 | 3,282 | 2,488 | 1,826 | 3,349 | 2,309 | 1,817 | 2,230 | |||
| Population density (per hectare) | 34.0 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 18.1 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 4.1 | |||
| Employment in relevant occupations * ** | 66,890 | 15,780 | 49,500 | 53,570 | 20,480 | 29,450 | 17,250 | 18,810 | 50,370 | 24,700 | 12,120 | 41,060 | 29,770 | 28,140 | 29,580 | |||
| Employment in relevant sectors * ** | 94,760 | 14,170 | 36,070 | 57,900 | 12,790 | 24,740 | 11,960 | 14,830 | 26,590 | 25,940 | 13,420 | 25,580 | 25,570 | 11,250 | 25,560 | |||
| Skills and education | % School Leaver in Positive Destinations | 89.6% | 89.9% | 91.5% | 92.3% | 91.8% | 93.4% | 91.3% | 89.1% | 90.9% | 91.2% | 90.7% | 90.8% | 92.7% | 94.9% | 91.6% | ||
| % of 16-64 year olds with SCQF 5 or higher | 71.6% | 72.5% | 68.8% | 84.1% | 68.7% | 76.8% | 70.2% | 66.6% | 71.9% | 80.9% | 69.1% | 76.5% | 73.8% | 81.7% | 77.0% | |||
| Skill shortages | Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy | R | 23.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 15.0% | |
| Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy that is hard to fill | R | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | ||
| Vacancies: Have a skills shortage vacancy | R | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | ||
| Skills Gaps: Administrative/clerical staff | R | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | ||
| Skills Gaps: Sales & customer services staff | R | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 4.3% | ||
| Inclusive Growth | Contribution to the economy | GVA per worker | R | £44,027 | £43,208 | £40,851 | £48,721 | £41,166 | £43,345 | £43,714 | £37,369 | £40,945 | £55,397 | £35,004 | £41,746 | £38,077 | £42,153 | £41,411 |
| GVA per working age person | R | £46,415 | £36,055 | £27,119 | £51,502 | £21,938 | £31,576 | £27,775 | £21,429 | £26,273 | £71,654 | £21,098 | £27,738 | £26,754 | £32,040 | £30,085 | ||
| Recent performance | Change in unemployment rate (2015 to 2016) | -2.4 | -1.8 | -4.1 | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -2.7 | -1.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -3.1 | -1.9 | 3.0 | -2.8 | ||
| Change in number of employees (2015 to 2016) | R | 0.5% | 0.0% | -1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | -5.7% | 2.5% | -0.7% | -1.6% | 0.9% | -1.3% | ||
| GVA growth between 2004 and 2014 | R | 11.1% | 5.7% | 23.4% | 8.5% | -7.5% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -0.6% | 1.9% | 56.0% | -1.2% | 9.9% | -7.1% | 54.3% | -0.6% | ||
| Employment opportunities | Employment Rate | R | 67.5% | 66.4% | 75.2% | 71.7% | 64.3% | 75.3% | 70.2% | 71.1% | 75.1% | 70.3% | 66.3% | 72.3% | 76.5% | 78.1% | 75.3% | |
| Works in home area | R | 76.2% | 84.5% | 53.2% | 86.4% | 55.2% | 52.4% | 66.5% | 46.7% | 50.3% | 90.5% | 53.8% | 76.2% | 57.9% | 56.8% | 59.4% | ||
| Employment - workplace based as % of 16-64 popn | R | 105.8% | 83.4% | 51.0% | 96.2% | 51.9% | 60.1% | 60.4% | 72.4% | 54.0% | 117.7% | 58.9% | 62.7% | 63.5% | 59.5% | 64.8% | ||
| Employment Expansion Demand in relevant occupations** | R | 659 | -331 | -329 | 1,234 | -342 | -173 | -157 | -270 | -391 | 243 | -86 | -406 | -45 | 464 | 170 | ||
| Employment Projections (change between 2015 and 2024) | R | 4.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 6.2% | -1.9% | 0.8% | -1.2% | -3.4% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | ||
| Business creation | Number of businesses (per 10,000 popn) | R | 274 | 217 | 203 | 346 | 231 | 247 | 202 | 189 | 267 | 399 | 252 | 245 | 229 | 540 | 238 | |
| Businesses with 100+ employees as % of all businesses | R | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | ||
| Business Birth Rate (per 10,000 popn) | R | 48 | 34 | 33 | 56 | 31 | 35 | 27 | 30 | 37 | 57 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 47 | 36 | ||
| Business Survival Rate (per 10,000 popn) | R | 40 | 45 | 46 | 48 | 50 | 45 | 39 | 51 | 49 | 53 | 47 | 49 | 41 | 61 | 48 | ||
| Economic diversity | % employed in relevant sectors*** | R | 19.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 13.8% | |
| GVA in relevant sectors*** as % of total GVA | R | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | ||
| Public Sector employees as % of total | R | 22.5% | 30.3% | 28.7% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 31.4% | 36.1% | 23.4% | 17.0% | 33.1% | 25.3% | 29.1% | 15.9% | 19.4% | ||
| Regeneration | SIMD | SIMD 20% most deprived | 48.3% | 36.7% | 32.2% | 13.7% | 37.6% | 27.1% | 43.9% | 39.7% | 20.6% | 7.8% | 32.5% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 15.9% | |
| SIMD 20% least deprived | R | 9.4% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 41.9% | 9.7% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 14.4% | 39.9% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 35.6% | 18.8% | ||
| SIMD Income Domain | 20.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 12.0% | |||
| SIMD Employment Domain | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | |||
| Population Trends | Total Population change 2005-15 | R | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 11.0% | -0.4% | 1.8% | -3.8% | -2.1% | 3.1% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | |
| Net Migration 10 Year Total as % of population | R | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 11.1% | -0.1% | 0.8% | -3.5% | -2.1% | 3.0% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | ||
| Proximity to Claimants | Total caseload | DLA, PIP and AA caseload | 79,368 | 16,856 | 41,934 | 33,451 | 16,064 | 19,362 | 10,440 | 11,641 | 35,469 | 14,435 | 13,806 | 33,166 | 15,204 | 14,477 | 17,303 | |
| CA caseload | 11,700 | 2,370 | 5,970 | 4,330 | 2,410 | 2,330 | 1,420 | 1,560 | 4,980 | 1,450 | 2,160 | 5,120 | 2,190 | 1,780 | 2,380 | |||
| TCs caseload | 50,200 | 10,800 | 24,800 | 23,900 | 10,500 | 11,800 | 6,000 | 7,100 | 20,100 | 8,700 | 8,800 | 23,700 | 9,600 | 8,700 | 12,000 | |||
| Claimant concentrations | DLA, PIP and AA (% of total popn) | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | ||
| CA (% of total popn) | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | |||
| TCs (% of total popn) | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | |||
* Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)
** Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations
*** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence
R – Reverse scoring. Higher value for these sub-indicators translate to lower scores for location suitability against criteria in Table B2
Contact
Email: Leila Akhoundova, leila.akhoundova@gov.scot
Phone: 0300 244 4000 – Central Enquiry Unit
The Scottish Government
St Andrew's House
Regent Road
Edinburgh
EH1 3DG
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