Inflation Adjusted HMRC Regional Trade Statistics for Scotland Q2 2026

Key Findings

This data covers real terms trade in goods during the period of the second quarter of 2018 to the second quarter of 2026. Trade in services as well as trade in oil and gas are excluded. The analysis is designated as ‘official statistics in development,’ which means that the data has a wider degree of uncertainty and should be treated with some caution. 

Total Trade 

• When comparing the year ending June 2026 with the previous year, the value of Scotland’s international goods exports decreased by 4% to £24.5 billion, while Scotland’s goods imports increased by 21% to £26.2 billion. 

Commodities 

• The largest negative change in international exports was in Fish & shellfish which accounted for around a fifth of the total decline. Specialised machinery and Electrical machinery & appliances also saw large declines. 

• Drink and Power generating machinery are Scotland’s top exports, each accounting for around 20% of the value of Scotland’s international goods exports.

Destinations 

• Over the longer term, Scotland’s international goods exports have decreased by 16% in the year ending June 2026 compared to the equivalent period in 2018. Over the same period Scotland’s exports to the EU have decreased by 24%. 

• Over the year ending June 2026 the value of Scotland’s goods exports to the EU decreased by 5% to £9.4 billion. The largest negative change was in Fish & shellfish which accounted for around a third of the total decline. Chemical materials & products and Drink also saw large declines. 

User Survey 

We encourage users of these statistics to provide feedback by completing a short survey, which we will keep open while we consider the use of chained volume measures in this series of reports: 

Scottish Government Regional Trade in Goods Report - User Survey (office.com)