Expansion of UK Emissions Trading Scheme into the domestic maritime sector: Final Business and Regulatory Impact Assessment 2026
This Business and Regulatory Impact Assessment (BRIA) covers the potential impacts on Scottish businesses following proposed expansion of the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) to include domestic maritime emissions.
Footnotes
1 METS is the Manage your UK Emissions Trading Scheme reporting service, used by operators, regulators and verifiers who carry out activities covered by the UK ETS or the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA).
2 ISM companies are defined in the proposed Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Scheme (Amendment) (Extension to Maritime Activities) Order 2026 as a person who is not the registered owner of a ship who has agreed with the registered owner to take over all the duties and responsibilities imposed by the ISM Code. The ISM Code is the International Management Code for the Safe Operation of Ships and for Pollution Prevention, which provides an international standard for the safe management and operation of ships and for pollution prevention.
3 Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS) (publishing.service.gov.uk)
4 UK Emissions Trading Scheme: Business and Regulatory Impact Assessment
5 UK ETS scope expansion: maritime sector (publishing.service.gov.uk)
6 UK ETS scope expansion: maritime - interim response (publishing.service.gov.uk)
7 UK Emissions Trading Scheme: Main Authority response to the Scope Expansion: Maritime consultation
8 UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
11 Gross tonnage (GT) is a measure of the internal volume of a ship, used internationally to classify vessel size for regulatory purposes. It is not a measure of weight.
12 See UK Government Maritime Decarbonisation Strategy for more detail
13 UK Government Maritime Decarbonisation Strategy
14 UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
15 Tank-to-wake with zero rating measures direct operational emissions, excluding emissions relating to the production of the vessel. Zero rating refers to treating fuels that emit no greenhouse gases during combustion onboard as having zero emissions, regardless of their production emissions. Well-to-wake measures both the emissions from both the production and delivery of a maritime vessel in addition to direct operational emissions.
17 All figures presented in tables 3B and 3C originate from UKG Department for Transport’s Maritime Emissions Model (MEM)
18 Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding.
19 5000GT refers to a ship with a gross tonnage (internal volume) of over 5000.
20 UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
21 Note: 2026 reflects half a year of emissions given the scope expansion to UK domestic maritime is planned from 1st July 2026.
23 Traded carbon values used for modelling purposes, 2024 - GOV.UK
24 Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme: main government response
25 UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
26 Analysis of company address data for both International Safety Management (ISM) companies and Registered Owners (ROs) suggest approximately 4% of operators under the scope of the UK ETS scope expansion to domestic UK maritime are UK based, while 24% of these are based in Scotland.
27 As Scottish ferry operators are included within the data used to estimate the 24% Scottish share of UK operators, this £1.7m cost estimate should be treated as an upper estimate.
29 Traded carbon values used for modelling purposes, 2024 - GOV.UK
30 More details provided in section C1.2. of the UK ETS Authority Impact Assessment: UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
31 More details on societal benefits can be found in section C4 of the UK ETS Authority Impact Assessment: UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
32 More details can be found in section D3 of the UK ETS Authority Impact Assessment: UK ETS scope expansion: domestic maritime - final stage impact assessment
33 Economic research on the impacts of carbon pricing on the UK Domestic Maritime sector
34 Evaluation of the UK Emissions Trading Scheme: Phase 1 report
35 Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009
36 Economic research on the impacts of carbon pricing on the UK Domestic Maritime sector
37 Mean value: 11.96 tonnes CO2. Median value: 2.3 tonnes CO2. The mean value is inflated due to instances of vessels remaining at berth for particularly long periods of time (over 50 days). The mean value is used as a conservative upper value.
38 Net Zero Strategy Aligned value for 2026, £2024 prices. UKG traded carbon values used for modelling purposes, 2024
39 Clarksons’ Shipping Intelligence Network
40 See, for example, the World Bank evidence review on estimates of price elasticities of demand for transport Although this paper is from 1990, the fundamental economic theory has not changed. 0.5 central elasticity estimate for ocean shipping of general cargo (p27)
41 Clarksons’ Shipping Intelligence Network
Contact
Email: emissions.trading@gov.scot