Scottish prison population statistics and projections

Data and analysis about the people in Scotland's prisons

Introduction

This page lists:

  • Current and historic Accredited Official Statistics on the prison population
  • Discussion papers providing further insight into the patterns and trends uncovered across statistical sources
  • Projections of the prison population performed before and after the COVID pandemic which began in 2020
  • Analysis of deaths in custody, aligned with National Records of Scotland's categorisation of cause of death

See a full list of statistical collections from Justice Analytical Services.

Discussion papers

Long-term drivers: A summary of published data largely using annual statistics on the average daily prison population from the Scottish Government accredited official statistics up to and including 2023-24. A range of other crime and justice statistics produced by the Scottish Government are also drawn upon to provide wider context.

Short custodial disposals: A paper discussing how short sentences are applied in Scotland in relation to people in custody, and the overall sentences those people serve

Statistics

Accredited official statistics from 2019 onwards are based on a revised methodology. This methodology is described, alongside the measurements and analytical factors used across all publications from this source, in our technical manual. 

The data produced in this way are made available for users to perform bespoke analysis through the Interactive Analysis Tool, available at the link below

Accredited official statistics from the previous source relied on daily snapshots, which were affected by a technical issue leading to their discontinuation. Publications from 2019-20 onwards include retrospective statistics to compare the new source with previous publications.

Official statistics drawn from daily administrative data are published as part of the Safer communities and justice statistics monthly reports

Technical documentation

Accredited official statistics from 2019 onwards are based on a revised methodology. This methodology is described, alongside the measurements and analytical factors used across all publications from this source, in our technical manual.

Pre-covid pandemic projections

Scottish prison population projections from 2008 to 2015 based on the previous statistical source.

Deaths in Prison Custody in Scotland

Analysis and overview of data on deaths in prison custody in Scotland.

Archive

You can find older publications in this series in our archive

Contact

Contact: Justice_Analysts@gov.scot

Back to top