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Scenario Modelling: Impact of the Reduction of the Renewables Obligation on fuel bills and ending the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) scheme on fuel poverty in Scotland


Annex

 

For gas and electricity unit rates and standing charges in Scotland differ between PES regions 1 (North) and 2 (South) as well as by the presence of prepayment meter. The SHCS and this analysis assign per kwh prices and standing charges based on these factors. These rates are set out in table 8 and 9 below.

 

Table 8: Electricity and Gas unit prices under Ofgem price cap January to March 2026 cand after RO reduction and ECO removal[1]

Fuel

Jan to March 2026 price cap price

Price after RO reduction and ECO removal

Electricity prepayment Scotland North

£0.249

£0.215

Electricity direct debit Scotland North

£0.257

£0.223

Electricity prepayment Scotland South

£0.240

£0.206

Electricity direct debit Scotland South

£0.247

£0.213

 

 

 

Gas prepayment Scotland North

£0.054

£0.051

Gas direct debit Scotland North

£0.056

£0.053

Gas prepayment Scotland South

£0.054

£0.051

Gas direct debit Scotland South

£0.056

£0.053

 

Table 9: Standing charges by fuel, region and meter type

Fuel

Daily Standing Charge in £

Electricity single prepayment Scotland North

£0.620

Electricity single direct debit Scotland North

£0.620

Electricity single prepayment Scotland South

£0.576

Electricity single direct debit Scotland South

£0.576

 

 

Electricity multi prepayment Scotland North

£0.628

Electricity multi direct debit Scotland North

£0.628

Electricity multi  prepayment Scotland South

£0.548

Electricity multi direct debit Scotland South

£0.584

 

 

Gas prepayment Scotland North

£0.352

Gas direct debit Scotland North

£0.352

Gas prepayment Scotland South

£0.353

Gas direct debit Scotland South

£0.353

 

 

 

Table 10: Scaling factors used for other fuels

Fuel

2023 index price

November 2025 index price

Scaling factor

Electricity (used for dual meter households)

287.55

248.53

0.8643

Liquid fuels

151.28

129.44

0.8556

LPG

155.44

167.30

1.0763

Solid fuels

179.92

173.33

0.9634

Other fuels

272.10

224.65

0.8256

 

 

[1] Figures in this table will differ from previous scenario modelling which uses the GB average price data as those are the figures communicated to consumers by Ofgem.

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