Heat in Buildings Bill consultation: business and regulatory impact assessment (partial)
Business and regulatory impact assessment (partial) in support of consultation on proposals for a Heat in Buildings Bill.
Footnotes
1. Heat In Buildings Strategy: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in Scotland's Buildings (www.gov.scot)
2. Scottish Government (2020) Securing a green recovery on a path to net zero: climate change plan 2018-2032 – update [online], Available at: Securing a green recovery on a path to net zero: climate change plan 2018–2032 - update - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) (accessed 30/03/23).
3. The exception to this is Scotland’s social housing stock, which will remain subject to a separate performance standard designed to grow zero emission heat and improve energy efficiency.
4. Scottish Parliament (2009) Climate Change (Scotland) Act [online] Available at: Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009 (legislation.gov.uk) (accessed 30/03/23)
5. Scottish Parliament (2019) Climate Change (Emissions Reduction Targets)(Scotland) Act 2019 [online] Available at: http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2019/15/enacted (accessed 30/03/23)
6. Scottish house condition survey: 2019 key findings - gov.scot (www.gov.scot) 2020 Scottish House Condition Survey fieldwork was suspended on March 17th due to the effects of COVID-19 and the restrictions around travel. The 2021 physical survey was carried out by an external-only inspection (carried out only in COVID protection levels 0,1 and 2), supplemented with alternative sources of data and the householder providing information to surveyors via telephone. More details can be found at: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-impact-on-scottish-household-survey-and-scottish-house-condition-survey-fieldwork-in-2020-and-2021/). Results for the SHCS 2020 were published in May 2023, but are not comparable due to methodological differences related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Representative results for the 2021 SHCS are expected to be published in 2024.
7. An estimated 34,000 homes are connected to heat networks; however these are predominantly fuelled by gas and not considered renewable/zero emissions.
8. Source: Unpublished analysis by the Energy Saving Trust (EST)
9. Scottish Parliament (2019), Fuel Poverty (Targets, Definition and Strategy (Scotland) Act [online] Available at: Fuel Poverty (Targets, Definition and Strategy) (Scotland) Act 2019 (legislation.gov.uk) (accessed 30/03/23)
10. Scottish Government (2020) Scottish House Condition Survey 2019 [online] Available at: https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-house-condition-survey-2019-key-findings/ (accessed 30/03/23)
11. Tackling fuel poverty in Scotland: a strategic approach - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
12. The data presented is a best estimate based on the new fuel poverty definition as at Stage 2 of the Bill process. The first official measurement of fuel poverty, fully compatible with all elements of the Act, requires additional data to be collected and the production of a new Minimum Income Standard for rural areas, rural small town and island areas. 2020 Scottish House Condition Survey fieldwork was suspended on March 17th due to the effects of COVID-19 and the restrictions around travel. The 2021 physical survey was carried out by an external-only inspection (carried out only in COVID protection levels 0,1 and 2), supplemented with alternative sources of data and the householder providing information to surveyors via telephone. More details can be found at: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-impact-on-scottish-household-survey-and-scottish-house-condition-survey-fieldwork-in-2020-and-2021/). Results for the SHCS 2020 were published in May 2023, but are not comparable due to methodological differences related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Representative results for the 2021 SHCS are expected to be published in 2024.
13. Scottish Government (2015), Infrastructure Investment Plan 2015. Available at: https://www.gov.scot/publications/infrastructure-investment-plan-2015/ (accessed 30/03/23)
14. Supporting documents - Draft Energy Strategy and Just Transition Plan - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
15. Energy strategy: position statement - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
16. SG+SGP+Talks+-+Draft+Policy+Programme+-+version+7+-+FINAL+-+OFFSEN.pdf (www.gov.scot)
17. Data Extracts (scottishepcregister.org.uk)
18. Scotland's non-domestic energy efficiency baseline: report - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
19. Data Extracts (scottishepcregister.org.uk)
20. Net Zero: A Consumer Perspective - Energy Systems Catapult
21. Scottish house condition survey: 2019 key findings - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
22. Not including emissions arising from process energy use in Energy Intensive Industries, which are accounted for in the Industrial sector in the Climate Change Plan.
23. Such as floor, loft or wall insulation.
24. Heating systems which emit greenhouse gases, within the curtilage of the building, when in use – e.g. gas, oil and LPG boilers – and also those using bioenergy.
25. Heating systems which do not emit greenhouse gases, within the curtilage of the building, when in use – e.g. heat pumps, heat networks fuelled by zero carbon energy, or direct electric heating.
26. There are limited data on non-domestic buildings and this figure is extrapolated from non-domestic EPCs which are only available for 17% of the stock. As these EPCs are not necessarily representative, and as non-domestic buildings vary in size and energy demand, this is only a rough indication.
27. How to scale a highly skilled heat pump industry | Nesta
28. Small Business Survey Scotland: 2021 - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
29. Low carbon and renewable energy economy estimates - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
31. This estimate drew on existing data (from PEAT – the Portfolio Energy Assessment Tool) and involved a sample of 1,345 homes across these areas; the estimate of £2,500 includes the installation of suspended floor insulation, where that is an option. Without that measure, the total estimated cost falls to £600.
32. Scottish Energy Statistics Hub (shinyapps.io)
33. Energy Research Partnership 2017 “Transition to Low Carbon Heat“ https://erpuk.org/project/low-carbon-heat/
34. Development of trajectories for residential heat decarbonisation to inform the Sixth Carbon Budget (Element Energy) - Climate Change Committee (theccc.org.uk), with adjustments to estimate the impact of inflation.
35. Unpublished research from Element Energy (2023) suggests that around 15% of homes do not need energy efficiency upgrades currently, 40% of homes would need to install energy upgrades at a cost of less than £2,000, and a further 25% would need to install energy upgrades at a cost of £6,000 - £14,000. Research from BRE (2023, Scottish Energy Performance Certificates - new metrics: research - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)) suggests that by installing insulation in lofts, flat roofs, cavity or solid walls, floors and hot water cylinders, as well as installing thermostats, solar water heating and double glazing, nearly 90% of homes would be reach the required level of energy efficiency.
37. See Table 22 in Scottish house condition survey: 2019 key findings - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
39. This is the smoothed cost over the technology lifetime for an installation in a given year, incorporating assumptions on capex, opex, fuel costs and efficiencies of each technology.
40. Registers of Scotland: Registers of Scotland Property Market Report 2023 (ros.gov.uk)
Contact
Email: HiBConsultation@gov.scot
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