Budget - Provisional Outturn 2022-2023: briefing note

The 2022-2023 Provisional Outturn briefing note provides further supporting information to the Provisional Outturn statement 2022-2023 delivered by the Minister for Community Wealth and Public Finance on 15 June 2023.


Provisional Outturn – Budget Act

24. Under the Scotland Act 1998, the approval of expenditure is the responsibility of the Scottish Parliament. This responsibility requires the Parliament to set a limit on both the total amount of cash and the total level of resources that the Scottish Government can use. Approval for the final 2022-23 Budget was sought in the Spring Budget Revision laid in February 2023.

25. The largest element of the budget approved by the Scottish Parliament is accounted for within HM Treasury budgetary control totals. Parliamentary budgets also include funding provided annually by HM Treasury (Annually Managed Expenditure or AME) and other budgets which are not subject to the same annual limits.

26. Such budgets can only be used for specific spending, and any under/overspends cannot be deposited in the Scotland Reserve and have no subsequent impact on the Scottish Budget. Variances of this type are generally accounting items such as provisions, NHS impairments and student loans adjustments. These budgets are not available to buy public goods and deliver services.

27. This statement of Provisional Outturn will be followed by reporting on Outturn against the 2022-23 Budget Act limits in a suite of annual accounts which together report on the total Scottish Budget approved by the Scottish Parliament:

  • The Annual Accounts of the Scottish Government (and of individual bodies funded from the Scottish Budget) will report on their expenditure compared to the allocation by Budget Act. The annual Scottish Government Consolidated Accounts will be published later in the year.
  • There will be a separate additional account reporting on the devolved taxes, showing what was raised and paid into the Scottish Consolidated Fund and was available to fund the activities authorised in the Budget Act.
  • The Devolved Taxes Accounts will link to the Account of the Scottish Consolidated Fund, which is a cash account showing all sources of funding, including devolved taxes, to the Scottish Consolidated Fund; these accounts also show the drawdown of funding by the Scottish Government and bodies funded via the Scottish Budget.
  • A Statement of Total Outturn for the financial year 2022-23 against the final budget for the Scottish Administration as a whole will also be provided to the Scottish Parliament later this year.

28. Table 4 below confirms the overall provisional HM Treasury fiscal outturn variance of £244 million. The footnotes explain the main contributory factors to the different level of reported variances against Parliamentary control totals.

  • HMT Budget Variance – is the difference between actual outturn and budget for resource, capital and financial transactions which is reported to HMT. Note the funding adjustments in the table relate to changes to funding post conclusion of the Spring Budget Revision and forms part of the overall Scotland Reserve.
  • Non-Cash - used for accounting adjustments, predominantly depreciation. It is not possible to use this ring-fenced non-cash budget to support any day-to-day spending.
  • NDPBs / Other Bodies – The Scottish Government Consolidated Accounts includes the grant in aid to the Scottish Government sponsored bodies. To reconcile this to HMT Treasury reporting the grant in aid is removed and replaced with the actual expenditure in those bodies.
  • AME / Other – refers to Annually Managed Expenditure and Outside Departmental Expenditure which does not form part of our Scotland Reserve limit and therefore is removed.
Table 4: Reconciliation between Provisional HM Treasury Budget Variances and Scottish Budget Variances (as approved by the Scottish Parliament)
2022-23 Provisional Outturn to Scottish Budget Variance as at Provisional Outturn
Portfolio HMT Budget Variance Non-Cash HMT Budget Variance (incl. non-cash) NDPBs / Other Bodies AME / Other Scottish Budget Variance
  £m £m £m £m £m £m
Finance and Economy (56) (7) (63) (24) (43) (130)
Health and Social Care (37) (3) (40) 8 (17) (49)
Education and Skills (130) 403 273 76 (404) (55)
Net Zero Energy and Transport (275) 1 (274) 121 8 (145)
Constitution External Affairs and Culture (6) 1 (5) 2 (1) (4)
Justice and Veterans (32) 0 (32) 1 0 (31)
Rural Affairs and Islands (14) (2) (16) 0 0 (16)
Social Justice Housing and Local Government (34) (19) (53) 0 80 27
Deputy First Minister and Cabinet Secretary for Covid Recovery (1) 0 (1) 0 0 (1)
The Crown Office and Procurator Fiscal (1) 0 (1) 0 0 (1)
Total Scottish Government (586) 374 (212) 184 (377) (405)
Other Bodies within the Scottish Administration (5) (6) (11) 0 0 (11)
Total Scottish Administration (591) 368 (223) 184 (377) (416)
Other Bodies funded directly from the Scottish Budget (2) 0 (2) 0 0 (2)
Total Scottish Budget (593) 368 (225) 184 (377) (418)
Funding Adjustments* 349 (1,352) (1,003)
Provisional Outturn (244) (984) (1,228)

* Funding adjustments relate to adjustments made after conclusion of the Spring Budget Review which are not included in portfolio allocations.

Differences between HMT budget and Scottish Budget due to - (a) A combination of adjustments relating to Non-Departmental Public Bodies (NDPBs) for which all income and expenditure is required to be recorded in the final outturn return to HM Treasury and small variances relating to other bodies within the portfolios which do not form part of the Scottish Government Consolidated Accounts e.g. Revenue Scotland, Scottish Fiscal Commission, Scottish Courts and Tribunals Service, National Records of Scotland, Scottish Housing Regulator, Office of the Scottish Charity Regulator, Food Standards Scotland, Registers of Scotland, Consumer Scotland, Environmental Standards Scotland, Scottish Parliament Corporate Body and Audit Scotland. Also, any adjustments relating to HM Treasury or Scottish Budgets only. (b) Variances in Annually Managed Expenditure (AME) and Other expenditure which are only recorded in the Scottish Budget outturn.

Contact

Email: fiscalmanagement@gov.scot

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