Scottish Budget - provisional outturn 2025-2026: briefing note - 18 June 2026

The overall provisional fiscal outturn for 2025-26 is £55.9 billion against a total fiscal budget of £56.3 billion. The Scottish Government (SG) is not permitted by Treasury to overspend its budget. The remaining underspend of £358 million, carried forward in full in the Scotland Reserve.


Scotland Reserve

21. The Scotland Reserve provides the Scottish Government with a limited facility to manage the smoothing of all types of spending, assist the management of tax volatility and determine the timing of expenditure.

22. The Reserve is split between Fiscal Resource and Fiscal Capital. In 2025-26 the Scotland Reserve is capped at £734 million. This equates to just over 1% of our total discretionary budget.

23. From 2023-24, annual drawdowns from the Reserve are unlimited. There are also no annual limits for payments into the Scotland Reserve provided the overall cap is not breached.

24. As set out above, the Scotland Reserve balance of £358 million is being utilised to fund the £150 million carry forward assumption set out in 2026-27 Budget as well as providing the year-end and annual audit contingency.

Table 4: Scotland Reserve
Year Resource £million Capital £million FT £million Fiscal £million
2021-22 Opening balance (405) (7) (197) (608)
2021-22 Drawdowns 405 7 197 608
2021-22 Additions (604) (81) (14) (699)
2021-22 Closing balance (604) (81) (14) (699)
2022-23 Opening balance (604) (81) (14) (699)
2022-23 Drawdowns 604 81 14 699
2022-23 Additions (250) (32) (44) (326)
2022-23 Closing balance (250) (32) (44) (326)
2023-24 Opening balance (250) (32) (44) (326)
2023-24 Drawdowns 250 32 44 326
2023-24 Closing Balance (265) (143) (4) (411)
2024-25 Opening balance (265) (143) (4) (411)
2024-25 Drawdowns 265 143 4 411
2024-25 Additions (550) (22) (24) (596)
2024-25 Closing Balance (550) (22) (24) (596)
2025-26 Opening balance (550) (22) (24) (596)
2025-26 Drawdowns 550 22 24 596
2025-26 Additions (312) (42) (4) (358)
2025-26 Closing Balance (312) (42) (4) (358)

Contact

Email: Corporate.reporting@gov.scot

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