Blue Economy scenarios: final report
Scottish Government commissioned Waverley in December 2023 to create different scenarios for use of marine space in Scotland to help identify reasoned descriptions of alternative possible futures in order to explore how current and alternative development trajectories might affect the future.
Annex 2: Individual group strategic analysis of End of the rainbow
Groups |
Group 1 |
Group 2 |
Group 3 |
Group 4 |
Consolidated |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time Period |
2035 |
2045 |
2035 |
2045 |
2035 |
2045 |
2035 |
2045 |
2035 |
2045 |
Energy |
A |
A |
- |
- |
B |
B |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Energy: Renewables |
- |
- |
A |
A |
- |
- |
B |
A |
A |
A |
Energy: Oil and gas |
- |
- |
E |
E |
- |
- |
D |
E |
E |
E |
Fisheries |
A |
A |
- |
- |
C |
D |
C |
D |
B |
C |
Fisheries: Large mobile |
- |
- |
D |
D |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Fisheries: small static |
- |
- |
B |
B |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Aquaculture |
A |
A |
B |
A |
B |
B |
C |
D |
B |
A |
Tourism |
B |
B |
B |
B |
C |
D |
B |
A |
B |
B |
Transport, ports and harbours |
B |
B |
A |
B |
B |
B |
B |
A |
B |
B |
Coastal and islands communities |
A |
A |
B |
B |
C |
C |
B |
A |
B |
B |
Marine nature |
B |
A |
B |
A |
B |
B |
B |
A |
B |
A |
A = significantly stronger than in 2024
B = slightly stronger than in 2024
C = about the same as in 2024
D = slightly weaker than in 2024
E = significantly weaker than in 2024