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Inflation Adjusted HMRC Regional Trade Statistics for Scotland Q3 2025

This report contains inflation adjusted HMRC Regional Trade Statistics for Scotland.


Goods exports to the EU

In the year ending September 2025 Scotland’s goods exports to the EU decreased by 2% to £9.1 billion since the previous year.

Over this period the greatest decreases were in exports Chemical materials & products (down 25%), Organic chemicals (down 40%), and Drink (down 4%). Chemical materials & products accounted for around a fifth of the total decline in EU exports and was the largest driver of the overall decrease.

The largest positive changes for EU exports were seen in Power generating machinery (up 23%), Telecomms & sound recording (up 28%) and Metalliferous ores & metal scrap (up 40%).

Figure 3. Power generating machinery saw the largest increase in goods exports to the EU

Real terms change in Scotland’s top exported commodities to the EU: the year ending September 2025 compared to the previous year

Figure 4. Drink accounted for 17% of the value of Scotland’s EU goods exports

Value in real terms of Scotland’s top exported commodities in the year ending September 2025

Figure 5. Both EU and non-EU exports remain below pre-pandemic levels

Index of Scotland’s international goods exports (CVM) by destination, year ending Q3 2018 to year ending Q3 2025. the year ending September 2018 = 100. 

Over the longer term Scotland’s goods exports to the EU have decreased by 20% since the pre-pandemic period in 2018.

The decline for Scotland over this period was driven by Apparel & clothing (down 85%), Professional & scientific instruments (down 56%) and Chemical materials & products (down 52%).

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