Inflation Adjusted HMRC Regional Trade Statistics for Scotland Q2 2025

In the year ending June 2025 Scotland’s goods exports to the EU decreased by 5% to £8.4 billion since the previous year.

Over this period the greatest decreases were in Chemical materials & products (down 29%), Organic chemicals (down 53%) and General industrial machinery (down 17%). Chemical materials & products accounted for around a fifth of the total decline in EU exports and was the largest driver of the overall decrease.

The largest positive changes for EU exports were seen in Power generating machinery (up 8%), Metalliferous ores & metal scrap (up 70%) and Telecomms & sound recording (up 14%).

Figure 3 . Chemical materials & products saw the largest decrease in goods exports to the EU

Real terms change in Scotland’s top exported commodities to the EU: the year ending June 2025 compared to the previous year

Figure 4. Drink accounted for 18% of the value of Scotland’s EU goods exports

Value in real terms of Scotland’s top exported commodities in the year ending June 2025

Figure 5. Scotland’s non-EU exports have increased in the most recent period

Index of Scotland’s international goods exports (CVM) by destination, year ending Q2 2018 to year ending Q2 2025. the year ending June 2019 = 100.

Over the longer term Scotland’s goods exports to the EU have decreased by 21% since the base period.

The decline for Scotland over this period was driven by Apparel & clothing (down 87%), Professional & scientific instruments (down 63%) and Other manufactured articles (down 65%).