Social Security spending reduction calculation: FOI release

Information request and response under the Freedom of Information (Scotland) Act 2002

Information requested

Details of the calculation which estimated that UK Government welfare cuts could reduce social security spending in Scotland by up to £3.7 billion in 2020-21.


I enclose a copy of all of the information you requested.

The figure referred to is based on calculations which were conducted for the Scottish Government's 2018 Welfare Reform Report. The report is available from
The method used to calculate the figure is discussed in detail in Annex II of that report.

Attachment 1 contains the background calculations used to produce the estimate, alongside the charts and figures produced for the report. The figure referred to in your request is labelled as the “Total impact of welfare reforms” on page 2 of the document.

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Please quote the FOI reference
Central Enquiry Unit
Phone: 0300 244 4000

The Scottish Government
St Andrews House
Regent Road

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