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Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - 5 March 2021

Brings together the different sources of evidence and data about the covid epidemic to summarise the current situation, why we are at that place, and what is likely to happen next.

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Footnotes

1. Scottish Government: Coronavirus (COVID-19): state of the epidemic - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

2. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/?term=modelling&cat=filter&topics=Coronavirus%20in%20Scotland&publicationTypes=research-and-analysis&page=1

3. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

4. Public Health Scotland Covid dashboard: https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

5. Scottish Government: https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-trends-in-daily-data/

6. Source: Public Health Scotland

7. Public Health Scotland weekly trends dashboard: https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/population-health/covid-19/covid-19-statistical-report/27-january-2021/dashboard/

8. NRS Scotland: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/general-publications/weekly-and-monthly-data-on-births-and-deaths/deaths-involving-coronavirus-covid-19-in-scotland

9. Office for National Statistics: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases

10. Results are taken from questions run on behalf of Scottish Government on the YouGov online omnibus survey. The sample is demographically and geographically representative of adults 18+ across Scotland, with c.1000 responses each week. Total sample size on 2-4 March was 1024 adults. 'Complete' or 'almost complete' compliance refers to respondents who rated themselves 6 or 7 on a scale of 0-7 for the question: Thinking about ALL of the guidance from the Scottish Government on what to do and what not to do during the Coronavirus pandemic (including distancing, protection measures and all restrictions)...On a scale of 1-7, where 1 is 'Not at all' and 7 is 'Completely', to what extent do you feel you are following the regulations and guidance?

11. Total sample size on 2-4 March was 1024 adults. Sample size for those who have not yet received their first vaccine was 583 adults. 'Likely' to be vaccinated refers to respondents who rated themselves 8 to 10 on a scale of 0-10 for the question: How likely or unlikely are you to be vaccinated for COVID-19 when a vaccine becomes available to you? (Please select a number between 0 and 10, where 0 means 'extremely unlikely' and 10 means 'extremely likely')

12. Public Health Scotland: https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/population-health/covid-19/covid-19-statistical-report/9-september-2020/dashboard/

13. Investigation of novel SARS-CoV-2 variant - Variant of Concern 202012/01 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

14. S1095_NERVTAG_update_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity_20210211.pdf (publishing.service.gov.uk)

15. Variants: distribution of cases data - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

16. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 variants (publishing.service.gov.uk)

17. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.351 - 27 January 2021 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

18. Brief note on SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern P.1 (publishing.service.gov.uk)

Contact

Email: modellingcoronavirus@gov.scot

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