Publication - Research and analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic (issue no.103)

Published: 7 July 2022
From: Director-General Health and Social Care
Directorate: Constitution Directorate
Part of: Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Scotland, Health and social care
ISBN: 9781804357170

Latest findings in modelling the COVID-19 epidemic in Scotland, both in terms of the spread of the disease through the population (epidemiological modelling) and of the demands it will place on the system, for example in terms of health care requirement.

Coronavirus (COVID-19): modelling the epidemic

Supporting documents

Footnotes

1. The UK POLYMOD figures

2. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 Statistical Report

3. COVID-19 Statistical Report (publichealthscotland.scot)

4. For this graph, a wastewater RNA average using the last 7 days of data is computed at every sampling date. Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey are overlaid, with a scale chosen to approximately match Jan/Feb trends in WW RNA.

5. Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

6. Covid-19 vaccine weekly surveillance reports (weeks 39 to 7, 2021 to 2022) - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

7. Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

8. Coronavirus (Covid-19): trends in daily data - gov.scot (www.gov.scot)

9. Coverage as for week ending 1st July 2022.