This publication reports the results from a project carried out under the UKSA Quality Improvement Fund to investigate the feasibility of developing local measures of fuel poverty for Scotland. Using small area estimation techniques and data from the SHCS combined with a range of administrative and commercial sources, the project developed estimates of fuel poverty at the Intermediate Geography Zone level.
While the model performs well against standard statistical test, in many cases the resulting estimates are technically not distinguishable across geographic areas with similar levels of fuel poverty, i.e. the differences are within the margin of error. For this reason we are providing the outputs from the model as broad general categories, describing fuel poverty as low (fewer than 20% of the households are fuel poor), medium (between 20 and 29% fuel poor households), high (between 30 and 39% of households fuel poor) and very high (40% or more fuel poor households), rather than in terms of exact numerical values.
Demand for local information on fuel poverty is high and this project was undertaken to help fill the existing gap. It is hoped that the results will help local users make better informed decisions about funding allocation. Because of the uncertainty associated with modelling, the information should be used as a broad guide alongside other local knowledge. It is most informative as an indication of the relative distribution of fuel poverty in Scotland, and in particular to help identify areas with very high and very low levels of fuel poverty.
We would welcome feedback from users on the usefulness and the quality of the outputs from this project to help develop this work in future. Please contact the Housing Quality and Sustainability team with any comments or questions.