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Global Atmosphere - Annual Mean Temperature

High Level Summary of Statistics Trend Last update: Thursday 19 January, 2017

Annual Mean Temperature

The global average surface temperature has increased over the 20th century by about 0.6°C. In Scotland the average temperature in the 2000's was 0.90°C warmer than the 1961-1990 average and warmer than any other decade since records began in 1910. However, the average temperature for Scotland in 2010 was the 10th coldest since 1910. In 20161, using provisional figures, the average temperature was 7.82°C which is 0.79°C higher than the 1961-1990 average. 2016 was 0.24°C warmer than 2015 but still 0.63°C cooler than 2014, which was the warmest year on record.

Temperatures in Scotland are projected to continue increasing over the next century, with hotter summers and milder winters. By the 2080s, projected increases 2 in mean annual temperature for Scottish 'regions' range 3 from 1.6°C to 4.5°C, with central estimates from these distributions between 2.6°C to 3.0°C.

Whilst the global impacts of climate change are considerable, there are also wide-ranging implications for Scotland. These include increased flood risk, and impacts on water resources, agriculture, transport, tourism and disease; all of great economic, social and environmental importance.

Annual Temperature

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Source: Met Office


(1): Increases compared with the 1961-1990 average.

(2): Here the range is between the minimum 10 percentile and maximum 90 percentile across the three Scottish regions.

(3): UKCIP (2009). UKCP 2009 - UK Climate Projections 2009

Further Information