High Level Summary of Statistics Trend Last update: Wednesday 4 February, 2015
Annual Mean Temperature
The global average surface temperature has increased over the 20th century by about 0.6°C. In Scotland the average temperature in the 2000's was 0.90°C warmer than the 1961-1990 average and warmer than any other decade since 1910. However, the average temperature of 2010 in Scotland was the 10th coldest since 1910. In 20141, the average temperature was 1.41°C higher than the 1961-1990 average, making it the warmest year on record. Average temperature in 2014 was 8.44°C, 0.92°C warmer than 2013.
Temperatures in Scotland are projected to continue increasing over the next century, with hotter summers and milder winters. By the 2080s, projected increases 2 in mean annual temperature for Scottish 'regions' range 3 from 1.6°C to 4.5°C, with central estimates from these distributions between 2.6°C to 3.0°C 4.
Whilst the global impacts of climate change are considerable, there are also wide-ranging implications for Scotland. These include increased flood risk, and impacts on water resources, agriculture, transport, tourism and disease; all of great economic, social and environmental importance.
View chart data
Source: Met Office
(1): Data for 2014 are provisional.
(2): Increases compared with the 1961-1990 average.
(3): Here the range is between the minimum 10 percentile and maximum 90 percentile across the three Scottish regions.
(4): UKCIP (2009). UKCP 2009 - UK Climate Projections 2009